East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerEast Carolina 79%
- Projected scoreEast Carolina 33, Charlotte 20
- Model spreadEast Carolina −13 total 53
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
East Carolina Pirates or Charlotte 49ers: the bandwagon
Axle 79–21Market 82–18
East Carolina Pirates at Charlotte 49ers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | ECU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ECU– | CLT– |
| Average win probability | ECU– | CLT– |
| Longest scoring run | ECU– | CLT– |
| Time leading | ECU– | CLT– |
East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | CLT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:26 PM ET | 21% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 22% | −2 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 24% | — |
- Ratings
- CLT 1249 · ECU 1491
- Home spread
- +13
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
East Carolina vs Charlotte odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Pirates at 85%, Polymarket at 79% (6 points apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 79%.
Prices read: Kalshi (not de-vigged); Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | ECU | CLT | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 85% | 15% | · not de-vigged | |
| Polymarket | 79% | 21% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 79% | 21% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Pirates a 13-point favorite, with a 79% chance to win. The model total is 53. Ratings: 49ers 1249 (133rd of 138), Pirates 1491 (72nd). The 49ers have won 1 of their last 5; the Pirates 3 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the 49ers won 2, the Pirates 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
East Carolina Pirates
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Temple Owls | W 17–9 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Memphis Tigers | L 34–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UAB Blazers | L 17–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Rice Owls | W 28–12 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | W 20–17 | – | – | matchup |
Charlotte 49ers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Tulane Green Wave | L 31–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Temple Owls | W 38–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Texas Mean Green | L 10–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Memphis Tigers | L 8–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | L 7–34 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte 49ers at East Carolina Pirates | 22–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| East Carolina Pirates at Charlotte 49ers | 24–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte 49ers at East Carolina Pirates | 10–7 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
East Carolina Pirates: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Charlotte 49ers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Pirates– 8th · W1
- Pirates rating1491 72nd of 138, 7 games
- 49ers– 13th · L1
- 49ers rating1249 133rd of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ECU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the East Carolina Pirates bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 13th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $CLT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Charlotte 49ers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on East Carolina Pirates at Charlotte 49ers
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Model: East Carolina 79% to win. Projected score East Carolina 33, Charlotte 20; spread East Carolina −13, total 53. Kalshi 85%, Polymarket 79% for East Carolina. East Carolina Pirates at Charlotte 49ers, Sat, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET.