Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerJacksonville State 66%
- Projected scoreJacksonville State 29, Western Kentucky 22
- Model spreadJacksonville State −6.5 total 50.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Jacksonville State Gamecocks or Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: the bandwagon
Axle 66–34Market 67–33
Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | JXST | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | JXST– | WKU– |
| Average win probability | JXST– | WKU– |
| Longest scoring run | JXST– | WKU– |
| Time leading | JXST– | WKU– |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | WKU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 34% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 33% | −5 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 38% | — |
- Ratings
- WKU 1406 · JXST 1555
- Home spread
- +6.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Gamecocks at 72%, Polymarket at 62% (10 points apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 66%.
Prices read: Kalshi (not de-vigged); Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | JXST | WKU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 72% | 28% | · not de-vigged | |
| Polymarket | 62% | 38% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 66% | 34% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gamecocks a 6.5-point favorite, with a 66% chance to win. The model total is 50.5. Ratings: Hilltoppers 1406 (101st of 138), Gamecocks 1555 (52nd). The Hilltoppers have won 2 of their last 5; the Gamecocks 5 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Hilltoppers won 1, the Gamecocks 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at New Mexico State Aggies | W 24–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida International Panthers | W 27–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kennesaw State Owls | W 27–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | W 23–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | W 31–27 | – | – | matchup |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Delaware Blue Hens | L 21–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sam Houston Bearkats | W 16–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri State Bears | W 34–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Mexico State Aggies | L 13–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Indiana Hoosiers | L 0–38 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 34–37 | – | – | matchup | |
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 12–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 17–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 17–20 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Jacksonville State Gamecocks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Gamecocks– 2nd · W5
- Gamecocks rating1555 52nd of 138, 7 games
- Hilltoppers– 6th · L1
- Hilltoppers rating1406 101st of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 2nd · streak W5
No stances yet today on $JXST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 6th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $WKU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
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Model: Jacksonville State 66% to win. Projected score Jacksonville State 29, Western Kentucky 22; spread Jacksonville State −6.5, total 50.5. Kalshi 72%, Polymarket 62% for Jacksonville State. Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET.