Kennesaw State Owls vs Sam Houston Bearkats prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerKennesaw State 72%
- Projected scoreKennesaw State 29, Sam Houston 20
- Model spreadKennesaw State −9.5 total 48.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Kennesaw State Owls or Sam Houston Bearkats: the bandwagon
Axle 72–28Market 61–39
Kennesaw State Owls at Sam Houston Bearkats win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Kennesaw State Owls vs Sam Houston Bearkats live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Kennesaw State Owls vs Sam Houston Bearkats team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | KENN | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | KENN– | SHSU– |
| Average win probability | KENN– | SHSU– |
| Longest scoring run | KENN– | SHSU– |
| Time leading | KENN– | SHSU– |
Kennesaw State Owls vs Sam Houston Bearkats model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SHSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 28% | +5 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 23% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 23% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 23% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 23% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 23% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 23% | — |
- Ratings
- SHSU 1214 · KENN 1402
- Home spread
- +9.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Owls at 61%, Polymarket at 60% (1 point apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 72%.
Prices read: Kalshi (not de-vigged); Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | KENN | SHSU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 61% | 39% | · not de-vigged | |
| Polymarket | 60% | 40% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 72% | 28% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Kennesaw State Owls vs Sam Houston Bearkats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Owls a 9.5-point favorite, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 48.5. Ratings: Bearkats 1214 (137th of 138), Owls 1402 (102nd). The Bearkats have won 0 of their last 5; the Owls 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bearkats won 2, the Owls 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Kennesaw State Owls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | W 44–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Liberty Flames | L 6–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Missouri State Bears | L 21–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks | L 26–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 14–17 | – | – | matchup |
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Missouri State Bears | L 3–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Mexico State Aggies | L 24–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | L 3–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Liberty Flames | L 3–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Tech Red Raiders | L 14–49 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston Bearkats at Kennesaw State Owls | 23–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| Kennesaw State Owls at Sam Houston Bearkats | 21–24 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Kennesaw State Owls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Sam Houston Bearkats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Owls– 9th · W1
- Owls rating1402 102nd of 138, 7 games
- Bearkats– 10th · L5
- Bearkats rating1214 137th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $KENN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kennesaw State Owls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 10th · streak L5
No stances yet today on $SHSU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Sam Houston Bearkats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Kennesaw State Owls at Sam Houston Bearkats
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Model: Kennesaw State 72% to win. Projected score Kennesaw State 29, Sam Houston 20; spread Kennesaw State −9.5, total 48.5. Kalshi 61%, Polymarket 60% for Kennesaw State. Kennesaw State Owls at Sam Houston Bearkats, Sat, Nov 14, 2:00 PM ET.