Louisville Cardinals vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerLouisville 80%
- Projected scoreLouisville 36, Georgia Tech 22
- Model spreadLouisville −13.5 total 58
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Louisville Cardinals or Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: the bandwagon
Axle 80–20Market 84–16
Louisville Cardinals at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Louisville Cardinals vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Louisville Cardinals vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | LOU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LOU– | GT– |
| Average win probability | LOU– | GT– |
| Longest scoring run | LOU– | GT– |
| Time leading | LOU– | GT– |
Louisville Cardinals vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | GT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 20% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 22% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:56 PM ET | 23% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 24% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 25% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 24% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 25% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 24% | — |
- Ratings
- GT 1385 · LOU 1634
- Home spread
- +13.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Louisville vs Georgia Tech odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Cardinals at 84%, Polymarket at 84%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 80%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | LOU | GT | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 84% | 16% | ||
| Polymarket | 84% | 16% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 80% | 20% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Louisville Cardinals vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cardinals a 13.5-point favorite, with a 80% chance to win. The model total is 58. Ratings: Yellow Jackets 1385 (109th of 138), Cardinals 1634 (26th). The Yellow Jackets have won 1 of their last 5; the Cardinals 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Yellow Jackets won 0, the Cardinals 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Louisville Cardinals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Stanford Cardinal | W 52–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Syracuse Orange | W 34–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida State Seminoles | W 44–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| at NC State Wolfpack | L 28–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L 27–30 | – | – | matchup |
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Pittsburgh Panthers | L 11–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston College Eagles | L 27–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Virginia Tech Hokies | L 24–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Duke Blue Devils | W 28–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Stanford Cardinal | L 27–34 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Louisville Cardinals | 19–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| Louisville Cardinals at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 39–34 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Louisville Cardinals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cardinals– 7th · W3
- Cardinals rating1634 26th of 138, 7 games
- Yellow Jackets– 17th · L3
- Yellow Jackets rating1385 109th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $LOU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Louisville Cardinals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 17th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $GT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Louisville Cardinals at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
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Model: Louisville 80% to win. Projected score Louisville 36, Georgia Tech 22; spread Louisville −13.5, total 58. Kalshi 84%, Polymarket 84% for Louisville. Louisville Cardinals at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, Sat, Nov 7, 7:30 PM ET.