Charlotte 49ers vs UAB Blazers prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerUAB 81%
- Projected scoreUAB 33, Charlotte 19
- Model spreadUAB −14 total 52.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Charlotte 49ers or UAB Blazers: the bandwagon
Axle 19–81Market 24–76
Charlotte 49ers at UAB Blazers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Charlotte 49ers vs UAB Blazers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Charlotte 49ers vs UAB Blazers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | CLT | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CLT– | UAB– |
| Average win probability | CLT– | UAB– |
| Longest scoring run | CLT– | UAB– |
| Time leading | CLT– | UAB– |
Charlotte 49ers vs UAB Blazers model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | UAB win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:26 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:26 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:32 PM ET | 81% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 83% | +2 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 81% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 82% | −3 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 85% | — |
- Ratings
- UAB 1398 · CLT 1249
- Home spread
- −14
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:26 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:26 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- spread −14.5 → −14
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Charlotte vs UAB odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Blazers at 76%, Polymarket at 76%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 81%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | CLT | UAB | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 24% | 76% | ||
| Polymarket | 24% | 76% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 19% | 81% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Charlotte 49ers vs UAB Blazers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Blazers a 14-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 52.5. Ratings: Blazers 1398 (103rd of 138), 49ers 1249 (133rd). The Blazers have won 2 of their last 5; the 49ers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Blazers won 1, the 49ers 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Charlotte 49ers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Tulane Green Wave | L 31–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Temple Owls | W 38–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Texas Mean Green | L 10–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Memphis Tigers | L 8–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | L 7–34 | – | – | matchup |
UAB Blazers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at South Florida Bulls | L 10–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs East Carolina Pirates | W 30–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Memphis Tigers | L 13–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Navy Midshipmen | W 24–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | L 14–21 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAB Blazers at Charlotte 49ers | 27–29 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte 49ers at UAB Blazers | 20–34 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Charlotte 49ers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UAB Blazers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- 49ers– 13th · L1
- 49ers rating1249 133rd of 138, 7 games
- Blazers– 7th · L1
- Blazers rating1398 103rd of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 13th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $CLT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Charlotte 49ers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UAB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UAB Blazers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Charlotte 49ers at UAB Blazers
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Model: UAB 81% to win. Projected score UAB 33, Charlotte 19; spread UAB −14, total 52.5. Kalshi 76%, Polymarket 76% for UAB. Charlotte 49ers at UAB Blazers, Sat, Nov 7, 3:30 PM ET.