Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerGeorgia Southern 58%
- Projected scoreGeorgia Southern 27, Marshall 24
- Model spreadGeorgia Southern −3 total 50.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Marshall Thundering Herd or Georgia Southern Eagles: the bandwagon
Axle 42–58Market 22–78
Marshall Thundering Herd at Georgia Southern Eagles win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MRSH | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MRSH– | GASO– |
| Average win probability | MRSH– | GASO– |
| Longest scoring run | MRSH– | GASO– |
| Time leading | MRSH– | GASO– |
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | GASO win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 58% | +5 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 53% | −6 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 59% | −6 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- GASO 1500 · MRSH 1509
- Home spread
- −3
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Marshall vs Georgia Southern odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Eagles at 78%, Polymarket at 78%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 58%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | MRSH | GASO | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 22% | 78% | ||
| Polymarket | 22% | 78% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 42% | 58% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Eagles a 3-point favorite at home, with a 58% chance to win. The model total is 50.5. Ratings: Eagles 1500 (69th of 138), Thundering Herd 1509 (65th). The Eagles have won 3 of their last 5; the Thundering Herd 3 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Eagles won 2, the Thundering Herd 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | W 36–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Alabama Jaguars | W 20–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L 21–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at James Madison Dukes | L 17–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Missouri State Bears | W 30–24 | – | – | matchup |
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs App State Mountaineers | W 19–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | W 23–15 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs James Madison Dukes | L 24–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | W 31–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Cougars | L 28–42 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern Eagles at Marshall Thundering Herd | 24–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| Marshall Thundering Herd at Georgia Southern Eagles | 23–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| Georgia Southern Eagles at Marshall Thundering Herd | 33–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| Marshall Thundering Herd at Georgia Southern Eagles | 23–10 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Marshall Thundering Herd: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Georgia Southern Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Thundering Herd– Sun Belt - East, 3rd · W2
- Thundering Herd rating1509 65th of 138, 7 games
- Eagles– Sun Belt - East, 4th · W2
- Eagles rating1500 69th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 3rd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $MRSH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marshall Thundering Herd bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 4th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $GASO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia Southern Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Marshall Thundering Herd at Georgia Southern Eagles
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Model: Georgia Southern 58% to win. Projected score Georgia Southern 27, Marshall 24; spread Georgia Southern −3, total 50.5. Kalshi 78%, Polymarket 78% for Georgia Southern. Marshall Thundering Herd at Georgia Southern Eagles, Sat, Nov 7, 3:30 PM ET.