Scoreless at kickoff, and the model has Old Dominion at 48 percent, so the numbers lean slightly toward Marshall right now. No crowd picks are in yet, so the Monarchs' fans get to be the loud ones for a few minutes.
FBS · · Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Old Dominion Monarchs: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreMarshall 36, Old Dominion 23 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerMarshall 52%
- Pregame Projected scoreMarshall 25, Old Dominion 24
- Model spreadMarshall −1 total 49
- Margin13 projected 1
- Total59 projected 49
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Marshall Thundering Herd or Old Dominion Monarchs: the bandwagon
Axle 52–48Market 57–43
FinalPregame: ODU 48%Baseline: ODU 16.7% (−31.0)Big swing: 21.8 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 17 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 36 |
| ODU | 7 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 23 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Marshall Thundering Herd at Old Dominion Monarchs win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−0.2 points for ODU over the last 5:00
Big swing21.8 ptstoward MRSH at 22:25 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineODU 16.7%game average, −31.0 points from the pregame 47.8%
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Old Dominion Monarchs live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | MRSH | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | MRSH338 | ODU409 |
| First downs | MRSH17 | ODU20 |
| 3rd down | MRSH2/14 | ODU5/13 |
| 4th down | MRSH0/0 | ODU0/2 |
| Turnovers | MRSH1 | ODU4 |
| Penalties-yards | MRSH13-96 | ODU10-92 |
| Time of possession | MRSH35:12 | ODU24:48 |
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Old Dominion Monarchs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | MRSH | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MRSH36 | ODU23 |
| Average win probability | MRSH83% | ODU17% |
| Longest scoring run | MRSH+20 | ODU+7 |
| Time leading | MRSH57:57 | ODU0:00 |
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Old Dominion Monarchs model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET
Thundering Herd52%
Win chanceMonarchs48%
SpreadMRSH −1closing model spread
Total49
Moneyline−109away / +109homeaway / home
Line movementODU win chance, 18 stored lines
−6 pts for ODU between Oct 28 and Oct 31
60%42%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | ODU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 48% | −6 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 54% | — |
- Ratings
- ODU 1410 · MRSH 1477
- Home spread
- +1
- Stored
- Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET · 2026-10-31 19:46 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Marshall Thundering Herd 36, Old Dominion Monarchs 23. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 11:30 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Thundering HerdMonarchs
Neutrals only–
Thundering HerdMonarchs
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Monarchs–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Marshall vs Old Dominion odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Thundering Herd at 57% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 57% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 52% when last read, .
| Source | MRSH | ODU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 57% | 43% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 57% | 43% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 52% | 48% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, ODU: −4Polymarket minus model, ODU: −4
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Old Dominion Monarchs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Thundering Herd a 1-point favorite, with a 52% chance to win. The model total is 49. Ratings: Monarchs 1379 (112th of 138), Thundering Herd 1509 (65th). The Monarchs have won 1 of their last 5; the Thundering Herd 3 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Monarchs won 0, the Thundering Herd 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | W 36–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Alabama Jaguars | W 20–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L 21–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at James Madison Dukes | L 17–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Missouri State Bears | W 30–24 | – | – | matchup |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Marshall Thundering Herd | L 23–36 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | L 0–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | L 15–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| at App State Mountaineers | W 10–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia State Panthers | L 10–42 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Monarchs at Marshall Thundering Herd | 24–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| Marshall Thundering Herd at Old Dominion Monarchs | 42–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| Old Dominion Monarchs at Marshall Thundering Herd | 35–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| Marshall Thundering Herd at Old Dominion Monarchs | 12–0 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Marshall Thundering Herd: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Old Dominion Monarchs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Thundering Herd– Sun Belt - East, 3rd · W2
- Thundering Herd rating1509 65th of 138, 7 games
- Monarchs– Sun Belt - East, 7th · L3
- Monarchs rating1379 112th of 138, 8 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 3rd · streak W2
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MRSH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MRSH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MRSH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $MRSH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marshall Thundering Herd bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 7th · streak L3
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ODU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ODU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ODU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $ODU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Old Dominion Monarchs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Marshall Thundering Herd at Old Dominion Monarchs
Sign in to post a take on $MRSHODU261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Marshall 36, Old Dominion 23. Bandwagon's model had the Marshall at 52% and projected Marshall 25, Old Dominion 24; spread Marshall −1, total 49. Last read: Kalshi 57%, Polymarket 57% for Marshall.