Ohio Bobcats vs Miami (OH) RedHawks prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerOhio 67%
- Projected scoreOhio 30, Miami (OH) 23
- Model spreadOhio −7 total 53.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Ohio Bobcats or Miami (OH) RedHawks: the bandwagon
Axle 67–33Market 54–46
Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Ohio Bobcats vs Miami (OH) RedHawks live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Ohio Bobcats vs Miami (OH) RedHawks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | OHIO | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Score | OHIO– | M-OH– |
| Average win probability | OHIO– | M-OH– |
| Longest scoring run | OHIO– | M-OH– |
| Time leading | OHIO– | M-OH– |
Ohio Bobcats vs Miami (OH) RedHawks model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | M-OH win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 33% | −3 |
| Nov 3, 10:31 PM ET | 36% | −2 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 38% | −2 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 40% | −1 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 41% | — |
- Ratings
- M-OH 1438 · OHIO 1592
- Home spread
- +7
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Ohio vs Miami (OH) odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Bobcats at 55%, Polymarket at 54% (1 point apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 67%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | OHIO | M-OH | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 55% | 45% | ||
| Polymarket | 54% | 46% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 67% | 33% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Ohio Bobcats vs Miami (OH) RedHawks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bobcats a 7-point favorite, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 53.5. Ratings: RedHawks 1438 (89th of 138), Bobcats 1592 (35th). The RedHawks have won 3 of their last 5; the Bobcats 5 of their last 5. The two have met 5 times in Bandwagon's results history; the RedHawks won 2, the Bobcats 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Ohio Bobcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Akron Zips | W 28–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Michigan Eagles | W 24–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sacramento State Hornets | W 48–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Central Michigan Chippewas | W 31–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kent State Golden Flashes | W 13–10 | – | – | matchup |
Miami (OH) RedHawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Buffalo Bulls | L 31–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Central Michigan Chippewas | W 28–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Akron Zips | W 34–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Massachusetts Minutemen | W 20–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bowling Green Falcons | L 20–24 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) RedHawks at Ohio Bobcats | 20–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks | 38–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks | 20–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks at Ohio Bobcats | 30–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks | 37–21 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Ohio Bobcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Miami (OH) RedHawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bobcats– 1st · W6
- Bobcats rating1592 35th of 138, 8 games
- RedHawks– 5th · L1
- RedHawks rating1438 89th of 138, 8 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 1st · streak W6
No stances yet today on $OHIO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ohio Bobcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MOH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Miami (OH) RedHawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks
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Model: Ohio 67% to win. Projected score Ohio 30, Miami (OH) 23; spread Ohio −7, total 53.5. Kalshi 55%, Polymarket 54% for Ohio. Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks, Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET.