Akron is at home, but the model has the Zips at 11 percent, so the numbers favor Ohio from the opening snap. The scoreboard reads 0-0 and no crowd picks are in yet, which tells you the Zips fans are still deciding how loud to be.
FBS · · InfoCision Stadium – Summa Field · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Ohio Bobcats vs Akron Zips: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreOhio 28, Akron 20 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerOhio 89%
- Pregame Projected scoreOhio 36, Akron 16
- Model spreadOhio −20 total 52.5
- Margin8 projected 20.2
- Total48 projected 52.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Ohio Bobcats or Akron Zips: the bandwagon
Axle 89–11Market 82–18
FinalPregame: AKR 11%Baseline: AKR 15.1% (+3.8)Big swing: 56.5 ptsClutch window: 12:59
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | 7 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 28 |
| AKR | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Ohio Bobcats at Akron Zips win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to OHIO−25.2 points for AKR over the last 5:00
Big swing56.5 ptstoward OHIO at 50:38 of game time
Clutch window12:59within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineAKR 15.1%game average, +3.8 points from the pregame 11.3%
Ohio Bobcats vs Akron Zips live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | OHIO | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | OHIO358 | AKR392 |
| First downs | OHIO12 | AKR26 |
| 3rd down | OHIO3/9 | AKR5/12 |
| 4th down | OHIO0/1 | AKR1/2 |
| Turnovers | OHIO1 | AKR2 |
| Penalties-yards | OHIO8-88 | AKR5-30 |
| Time of possession | OHIO24:14 | AKR35:46 |
Ohio Bobcats vs Akron Zips team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | OHIO | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | OHIO28 | AKR20 |
| Average win probability | OHIO85% | AKR15% |
| Longest scoring run | OHIO+14 | AKR+10 |
| Time leading | OHIO39:41 | AKR8:48 |
Ohio Bobcats vs Akron Zips model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET
Bobcats89%
Win chanceZips11%
SpreadOHIO −20closing model spread
Total52.5
Moneyline−784away / +784homeaway / home
Line movementAKR win chance, 40 stored lines
−2 pts for AKR between Oct 28 and Nov 3
18%6%
Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | AKR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:56 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:26 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:06 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:32 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 11% | −2 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 13% | — |
- Ratings
- AKR 1240 · OHIO 1584
- Home spread
- +20
- Stored
- Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET · 2026-11-03 10:02 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Ohio Bobcats 28, Akron Zips 20. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 3, 12:47 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 2 picks
Be the first on the bandwagon
BobcatsZips
Neutrals only–
BobcatsZips
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Zips–
2 picks so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Ohio vs Akron odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Bobcats at 82% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 82% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 89% when last read, .
| Source | OHIO | AKR | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 82% | 18% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 82% | 18% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 89% | 11% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, AKR: +7Polymarket minus model, AKR: +7
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Ohio Bobcats vs Akron Zips prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bobcats a 20-point favorite, with a 89% chance to win. The model total is 52.5. Ratings: Zips 1232 (134th of 138), Bobcats 1592 (35th). The Zips have won 0 of their last 5; the Bobcats 5 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Zips won 0, the Bobcats 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Ohio Bobcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Akron Zips | W 28–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Michigan Eagles | W 24–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sacramento State Hornets | W 48–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Central Michigan Chippewas | W 31–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kent State Golden Flashes | W 13–10 | – | – | matchup |
Akron Zips
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Ohio Bobcats | L 20–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kent State Golden Flashes | L 20–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 14–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Michigan Eagles | L 23–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Central Michigan Chippewas | L 17–41 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron Zips at Ohio Bobcats | 10–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| Ohio Bobcats at Akron Zips | 25–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| Akron Zips at Ohio Bobcats | 34–55 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Ohio Bobcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Akron Zips: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bobcats– 1st · W6
- Bobcats rating1592 35th of 138, 8 games
- Zips– 13th · L7
- Zips rating1232 134th of 138, 8 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 1st · streak W6
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $OHIO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $OHIO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $OHIO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $OHIO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ohio Bobcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 13th · streak L7
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $AKR
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $AKR
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $AKR
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $AKR: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Akron Zips bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Ohio Bobcats at Akron Zips
Sign in to post a take on $OHIOAKR261104: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Ohio 28, Akron 20. Bandwagon's model had the Ohio at 89% and projected Ohio 36, Akron 16; spread Ohio −20, total 52.5. Last read: Kalshi 82%, Polymarket 82% for Ohio.