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Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes prediction, odds and picks, November 17, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Miami (OH) RedHawks or Kent State Golden Flashes: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 65–35Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: KENT 35%
Game clock
KickoffTuesday, November 17 at 7:00 PM ET
Down & distance
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Possession
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Miami (OH) RedHawks at Kent State Golden Flashes win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0015:0030:0045:0060:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0030:0060:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatM-OHKENT
ScoreM-OH–KENT–
Average win probabilityM-OH–KENT–
Longest scoring runM-OH–KENT–
Time leadingM-OH–KENT–

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 13 h ago
RedHawks65%
Win chance
Golden Flashes35%
SpreadM-OH −6.5
Total51
Moneyline−189away / +189homeaway / home
Line movementKENT win chance, 6 stored lines
+4 pts for KENT since Nov 2
40%26%
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: KENT 31%Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET: KENT 31%Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET: KENT 31%Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET: KENT 35%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: KENT 35%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: KENT 35%
Nov 2Nov 3Now
Every stored line
StoredKENT winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET35%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET35%0
Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET35%+4
Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET31%0
Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET31%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET31%—
Ratings
KENT 1294 · M-OH 1438
Home spread
+6.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
  • Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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RedHawksGolden Flashes
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Golden Flashes–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the RedHawks a 6.5-point favorite, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 51. Ratings: Golden Flashes 1294 (129th of 138), RedHawks 1438 (89th). The Golden Flashes have won 1 of their last 5; the RedHawks 3 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Golden Flashes won 0, the RedHawks 3.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Miami (OH) RedHawks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Buffalo BullsL 31–34––matchup
at Central Michigan ChippewasW 28–27––matchup
vs Akron ZipsW 34–14––matchup
at Massachusetts MinutemenW 20–19––matchup
vs Bowling Green FalconsL 20–24––matchup

Kent State Golden Flashes

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Sacramento State HornetsL 10–31––matchup
vs Akron ZipsW 35–20––matchup
at South Florida BullsL 2–29––matchup
at Western Michigan BroncosL 7–38––matchup
vs Ohio BobcatsL 10–13––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Kent State Golden Flashes at Miami (OH) RedHawks7–34––matchup
Miami (OH) RedHawks at Kent State Golden Flashes23–3––matchup
Kent State Golden Flashes at Miami (OH) RedHawks24–27––matchup

Injuries

Miami (OH) RedHawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Kent State Golden Flashes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • RedHawks– 5th · W3
  • RedHawks rating1438 89th of 138, 8 games
  • Golden Flashes– 10th · L1
  • Golden Flashes rating1294 129th of 138, 8 games

Miami (OH) RedHawks

NCAA Division I FBS football · 5th · streak W3

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MOH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MOH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MOH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MOH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Miami (OH) RedHawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

RedHawks roster, schedule and more

Kent State Golden Flashes

NCAA Division I FBS football · 10th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $KENT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $KENT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $KENT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $KENT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kent State Golden Flashes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Golden Flashes roster, schedule and more

Takes on Miami (OH) RedHawks at Kent State Golden Flashes

Sign in to post a take on $MOHKENT261118: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: Miami (OH) 65% to win. Projected score Miami (OH) 29, Kent State 22; spread Miami (OH) −6.5, total 51. Miami (OH) RedHawks at Kent State Golden Flashes, Tue, Nov 17, 7:00 PM ET.