College Football Week 9 odds: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket (Oct 27–31, 2026)
Bandwagon's model has a line on 52 of 56 College Football Week 9 games. Its biggest favorite is James Madison at 95%, against Troy; its closest game is Southern Miss at UL Monroe, 51%–49%. The largest gap with a market is Oklahoma State at Iowa State: the model gives Iowa State 70% and Kalshi 25% (45 points). Model as of Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET; prices as of Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
College Football Week 9 slate
56 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware at Western Kentucky | no model line yet | – | – | – | Delaware 35, Western Kentucky 21 no model line | |||
| Sam Houston at Missouri State | no model line yet | – | – | – | Sam Houston 3, Missouri State 24 no model line | |||
| Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee | no model line yet | – | – | – | Kennesaw State 44, Middle Tennessee 28 no model line | |||
| Jacksonville State at New Mexico State | no model line yet | – | – | – | Jacksonville State 24, New Mexico State 0 no model line | |||
| Florida Atlantic at North Texas | North Texas 86% | North Texas −18 | 63 | North Texas 84% | North Texas 84% | – | Florida Atlantic 41, North Texas 48 model's favorite won | |
| Troy at James Madison | James Madison 95% | James Madison −29.5 | 51.5 | James Madison 89% | James Madison 89% | – | Troy 24, James Madison 21 model's favorite lost | |
| Tulane at Charlotte | Tulane 83% | Tulane −15.5 | 51.5 | Tulane 75% | Tulane 75% | – | Tulane 38, Charlotte 31 model's favorite won | |
| Baylor at UCF | UCF 52% | UCF −1 | 50.5 | UCF 44% | UCF 45% | – | Baylor 41, UCF 9 model's favorite lost | |
| Kent State at Sacramento State | Kent State 57% | Kent State −3 | 49 | Kent State 72% | Kent State 73% | – | Kent State 10, Sacramento State 31 model's favorite lost | |
| Arizona at Texas Tech | Texas Tech 60% | Texas Tech −4 | 55 | Texas Tech 63% | Texas Tech 64% | – | Arizona 26, Texas Tech 34 model's favorite won | |
| Boston College at Duke | Duke 81% | Duke −14.5 | 49 | Duke 71% | Duke 71% | – | Boston College 2, Duke 47 model's favorite won | |
| Bowling Green at Western Michigan | Western Michigan 85% | Western Michigan −17 | 50 | Western Michigan 84% | Western Michigan 85% | – | Bowling Green 10, Western Michigan 23 model's favorite won | |
| California at NC State | NC State 76% | NC State −11 | 55 | NC State 73% | NC State 74% | – | California 10, NC State 31 model's favorite won | |
| Illinois at Maryland | Illinois 76% | Illinois −11.5 | 56 | Illinois 55% | Illinois 57% | – | Illinois 20, Maryland 17 model's favorite won | |
| Notre Dame vs Navy | Notre Dame 89% | Notre Dame −20 | 55 | Notre Dame 98% | Notre Dame 98% | – | Notre Dame 35, Navy 13 model's favorite won | |
| SMU at Syracuse | SMU 86% | SMU −17.5 | 55 | SMU 77% | SMU 74% | – | SMU 27, Syracuse 30 model's favorite lost | |
| UAB at South Florida | South Florida 81% | South Florida −14.5 | 47 | South Florida 74% | South Florida 73% | – | UAB 10, South Florida 30 model's favorite won | |
| Wisconsin at Iowa | Iowa 73% | Iowa −10 | 46.5 | Iowa 56% | Iowa 56% | – | Wisconsin 0, Iowa 30 model's favorite won | |
| Michigan at Rutgers | Michigan 75% | Michigan −11 | 51 | Michigan 86% | Michigan 87% | – | Michigan 28, Rutgers 21 model's favorite won | |
| Auburn at Ole Miss | Ole Miss 88% | Ole Miss −19.5 | 54.5 | Ole Miss 80% | Ole Miss 78% | – | Auburn 15, Ole Miss 45 model's favorite won | |
| Marshall at Old Dominion | Marshall 52% | Marshall −1 | 49.5 | Marshall 56% | Marshall 56% | – | Marshall 36, Old Dominion 23 model's favorite won | |
| Coastal Carolina at Georgia State | Georgia State 67% | Georgia State −7 | 55 | Georgia State 60% | Georgia State 62% | – | Coastal Carolina 31, Georgia State 20 model's favorite lost | |
| Kansas State at Colorado | Kansas State 72% | Kansas State −9.5 | 50.5 | Kansas State 43% | Kansas State 41% | – | Kansas State 24, Colorado 27 model's favorite lost | |
| UConn at Air Force | Air Force 54% | Air Force −1.5 | 54.5 | Air Force 54% | Air Force 54% | – | UConn 26, Air Force 35 model's favorite won | |
| Louisiana Tech at South Alabama | Louisiana Tech 53% | Louisiana Tech −1 | 56.5 | Louisiana Tech 67% | Louisiana Tech 69% | – | Louisiana Tech 35, South Alabama 20 model's favorite won | |
| Temple at East Carolina | East Carolina 82% | East Carolina −15 | 53 | East Carolina 64% | East Carolina 63% | – | Temple 9, East Carolina 17 model's favorite won | |
| Stanford at Louisville | Louisville 85% | Louisville −17 | 57.5 | Louisville 94% | Louisville 94% | – | Stanford 24, Louisville 52 model's favorite won | |
| Arizona State at BYU | BYU 83% | BYU −15.5 | 53.5 | BYU 87% | BYU 88% | – | Arizona State 20, BYU 27 model's favorite won | |
| Colorado State at Utah State | Utah State 77% | Utah State −12 | 56.5 | Utah State 75% | Utah State 75% | – | Colorado State 14, Utah State 31 model's favorite won | |
| Florida International at Liberty | Liberty 80% | Liberty −13.5 | 47 | Liberty 84% | Liberty 83% | – | Florida International 10, Liberty 49 model's favorite won | |
| Florida vs Georgia | Georgia 84% | Georgia −17 | 59 | Georgia 81% | Georgia 81% | – | Florida 8, Georgia 27 model's favorite won | |
| Kansas at TCU | TCU 76% | TCU −11 | 48 | TCU 68% | TCU 68% | – | Kansas 16, TCU 22 model's favorite won | |
| Minnesota at Indiana | Indiana 92% | Indiana −24.5 | 48 | Indiana 93% | Indiana 92% | – | Minnesota 16, Indiana 23 model's favorite won | |
| Northwestern at Oregon | Oregon 72% | Oregon −9 | 51.5 | Oregon 63% | Oregon 64% | – | Northwestern 26, Oregon 34 model's favorite won | |
| Southern Miss at UL Monroe | Southern Miss 51% | Southern Miss −0.5 | 55.5 | Southern Miss 61% | Southern Miss 61% | – | Southern Miss 35, UL Monroe 21 model's favorite won | |
| UTEP at North Dakota State | North Dakota State 95% | North Dakota State −29.5 | 49 | North Dakota State 95% | North Dakota State 95% | – | UTEP 7, North Dakota State 31 model's favorite won | |
| Utah at Cincinnati | Utah 74% | Utah −10.5 | 53.5 | Utah 72% | Utah 72% | – | Utah 49, Cincinnati 25 model's favorite won | |
| Virginia at Wake Forest | Wake Forest 80% | Wake Forest −13.5 | 52 | Wake Forest 82% | Wake Forest 83% | – | Virginia 7, Wake Forest 51 model's favorite won | |
| New Mexico at San José State | New Mexico 79% | New Mexico −13 | 47.5 | New Mexico 86% | New Mexico 86% | – | New Mexico 21, San José State 16 model's favorite won | |
| Nevada at UCLA | UCLA 86% | UCLA −17.5 | 52 | UCLA 94% | UCLA 93% | – | Nevada 0, UCLA 27 model's favorite won | |
| Purdue at Penn State | Penn State 82% | Penn State −15 | 54.5 | Penn State 78% | Penn State 78% | – | Purdue 17, Penn State 31 model's favorite won | |
| South Carolina at Oklahoma | Oklahoma 71% | Oklahoma −8.5 | 52 | Oklahoma 60% | Oklahoma 60% | – | South Carolina 42, Oklahoma 25 model's favorite lost | |
| App State at Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern 64% | Georgia Southern −5.5 | 52 | – | – | – | App State 3, Georgia Southern 19 model's favorite won | |
| Clemson at Florida State | Clemson 53% | Clemson −1 | 53 | Clemson 36% | Clemson 36% | – | Clemson 36, Florida State 24 model's favorite won | |
| Oklahoma State at Iowa State | Iowa State 70% | Iowa State −8.5 | 55.5 | Iowa State 25% | Iowa State 25% | – | Oklahoma State 49, Iowa State 51 model's favorite won | |
| Washington State at San Diego State | San Diego State 63% | San Diego State −5 | 53 | San Diego State 56% | San Diego State 56% | – | Washington State 20, San Diego State 26 model's favorite won | |
| Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh 78% | Pittsburgh −12.5 | 54 | Pittsburgh 75% | Pittsburgh 75% | – | Georgia Tech 11, Pittsburgh 34 model's favorite won | |
| Miami at North Carolina | Miami 88% | Miami −19.5 | 53.5 | Miami 85% | Miami 83% | – | Miami 38, North Carolina 35 model's favorite won | |
| Mississippi State at Texas | Texas 89% | Texas −21 | 53.5 | Texas 91% | Texas 91% | – | Mississippi State 3, Texas 31 model's favorite won | |
| Ohio State at USC | Ohio State 73% | Ohio State −9.5 | 54.5 | Ohio State 69% | Ohio State 69% | – | Ohio State 18, USC 30 model's favorite lost | |
| Missouri at Arkansas | Missouri 70% | Missouri −8.5 | 50.5 | Missouri 78% | Missouri 78% | – | Missouri 34, Arkansas 10 model's favorite won | |
| Army at Memphis | Memphis 55% | Memphis −2 | 56 | Memphis 66% | Memphis 67% | – | Army 22, Memphis 49 model's favorite won | |
| Washington at Nebraska | Nebraska 59% | Nebraska −3.5 | 52 | Nebraska 73% | Nebraska 74% | – | Washington 17, Nebraska 10 model's favorite lost | |
| Texas State at Boise State | Boise State 80% | Boise State −14 | 57 | Boise State 79% | Boise State 79% | – | Texas State 45, Boise State 46 model's favorite won | |
| Northern Illinois at UNLV | UNLV 94% | UNLV −27 | 52 | UNLV 93% | UNLV 93% | – | Northern Illinois 24, UNLV 31 model's favorite won | |
| Oregon State at Fresno State | Fresno State 72% | Fresno State −9 | 55 | Fresno State 32% | Fresno State 33% | – | Oregon State 22, Fresno State 38 model's favorite won | |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
The model's record this week
The model's favorite won 43 of 52 finished College Football games that had a favorite (83%). Each line is the one stored before kickoff. Not counted: 4 finished games with no model line. The model's record