UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs prediction, odds and picks, November 11, 2026
- Projected winnereven
- Projected scoreGardner-Webb 67, UNC Greensboro 64
- Model spreadGardner-Webb −2.5 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
UNC Greensboro Spartans or Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs: the bandwagon
Axle 50–50Market –
UNC Greensboro Spartans at Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | UNCG | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UNCG– | GWEB– |
| Average win probability | UNCG– | GWEB– |
| Longest scoring run | UNCG– | GWEB– |
| Time leading | UNCG– | GWEB– |
UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs odds
Every stored line
| Stored | GWEB win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 50% | +3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 47% | −16 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- GWEB 1383 · UNCG 1455
- Home spread
- −2.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 50% for the Runnin' Bulldogs. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Runnin' Bulldogs 1383 (297th of 356), Spartans 1455 (223rd). The Runnin' Bulldogs are 0-0; the Spartans are 0-0. The Runnin' Bulldogs have won 2 of their last 5; the Spartans 2 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Runnin' Bulldogs won 1, the Spartans 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Presbyterian Blue Hose | W 58–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| at East Tennessee State Buccaneers | L 50–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Western Carolina Catamounts | W 68–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chattanooga Mocs | L 54–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| at East Tennessee State Buccaneers | L 39–52 | – | – | matchup |
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Winthrop Eagles | L 52–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Radford Highlanders | L 59–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Upstate Spartans | W 52–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs High Point Panthers | L 53–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Longwood Lancers | W 53–51 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at UNC Greensboro Spartans | 52–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at UNC Greensboro Spartans | 47–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans at Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 66–83 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
UNC Greensboro Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Spartans0-0 8th · -
- Spartans rating1455 223rd of 356, 1 games
- Runnin' Bulldogs0-0 4th · -
- Runnin' Bulldogs rating1383 297th of 356, 0 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak -
No stances yet today on $UNCGWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UNC Greensboro Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak -
No stances yet today on $GWEBWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: even. Projected score Gardner-Webb 67, UNC Greensboro 64; spread Gardner-Webb −2.5, total 130.5. UNC Greensboro Spartans at Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs, Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 PM ET.