Duke opens at 0-0 with the Blue Devils' model at 81 percent, and the crowd has not weighed in yet. Boston College will need the first quarter to change that picture, and the Eagles know it.
FBS · · Wallace Wade Stadium · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Boston College Eagles vs Duke Blue Devils: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreBoston College 2, Duke 47 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerDuke 81%
- Pregame Projected scoreDuke 32, Boston College 17
- Model spreadDuke −14.5 total 49
- Margin45 projected 14.5
- Total49 projected 49
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Boston College Eagles or Duke Blue Devils: the bandwagon
Axle 19–81Market 30–71
FinalPregame: DUKE 81%Baseline: DUKE 95.4% (+14.1)Big swing: 9.7 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| DUKE | 13 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 47 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Boston College Eagles at Duke Blue Devils win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for DUKE over the last 5:00
Big swing9.7 ptstoward DUKE at 0:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineDUKE 95.4%game average, +14.1 points from the pregame 81.3%
Boston College Eagles vs Duke Blue Devils live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | BC | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | BC213 | DUKE382 |
| First downs | BC14 | DUKE21 |
| 3rd down | BC2/13 | DUKE5/12 |
| 4th down | BC0/4 | DUKE1/2 |
| Turnovers | BC2 | DUKE1 |
| Penalties-yards | BC15-129 | DUKE10-90 |
| Time of possession | BC 0:15 | DUKE34:00 |
Boston College Eagles vs Duke Blue Devils team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | BC | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BC2 | DUKE47 |
| Average win probability | BC5% | DUKE95% |
| Longest scoring run | BC+2 | DUKE+48 |
| Time leading | BC0:00 | DUKE53:15 |
Boston College Eagles vs Duke Blue Devils model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET
Eagles19%
Win chanceBlue Devils81%
SpreadDUKE −14.5closing model spread
Total49
Moneyline+437away / −437homeaway / home
Line movementDUKE win chance, 17 stored lines
−5 pts for DUKE between Oct 28 and Oct 31
91%76%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | DUKE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 81% | −5 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 86% | — |
- Ratings
- DUKE 1615 · BC 1462
- Home spread
- −14.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET · 2026-10-31 19:21 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Boston College Eagles 2, Duke Blue Devils 47. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 11:30 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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EaglesBlue Devils
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EaglesBlue Devils
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Blue Devils–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Boston College vs Duke odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Blue Devils at 71% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 71% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 81% when last read, .
| Source | BC | DUKE | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 30% | 71% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 30% | 71% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 19% | 81% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, DUKE: −11Polymarket minus model, DUKE: −11
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Boston College Eagles vs Duke Blue Devils prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Blue Devils a 14.5-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 49. Ratings: Blue Devils 1636 (25th of 138), Eagles 1442 (86th). The Blue Devils have won 3 of their last 5; the Eagles 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Blue Devils won 1, the Eagles 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Boston College Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Duke Blue Devils | L 2–47 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | W 49–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pittsburgh Panthers | W 27–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| at SMU Mustangs | L 16–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Virginia Tech Hokies | L 14–21 | – | – | matchup |
Duke Blue Devils
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Boston College Eagles | W 47–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Virginia Cavaliers | W 19–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Carolina Tar Heels | L 20–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | L 25–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stanford Cardinal | W 35–7 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils at Boston College Eagles | 38–31 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Boston College Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Duke Blue Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Eagles– 9th · L1
- Eagles rating1442 86th of 138, 7 games
- Blue Devils– 5th · W2
- Blue Devils rating1636 25th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $BC: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Boston College Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 5th · streak W2
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DUKE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DUKE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DUKE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $DUKE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Duke Blue Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Boston College Eagles at Duke Blue Devils
Sign in to post a take on $BCDUKE261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Boston College 2, Duke 47. Bandwagon's model had the Duke at 81% and projected Duke 32, Boston College 17; spread Duke −14.5, total 49. Last read: Kalshi 71%, Polymarket 71% for Duke.