Clemson leads Florida State 10-7 with 15:00 left in the second quarter, so the Tigers have the edge right now. The model has the Seminoles at 47 percent, and no crowd picks are in yet.
FBS · · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreClemson 36, Florida State 24 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerClemson 53%
- Pregame Projected scoreClemson 27, Florida State 26
- Model spreadClemson −1 total 53
- Margin12 projected 1
- Total60 projected 53
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Clemson Tigers or Florida State Seminoles: the bandwagon
Axle 53–47Market 36–65
FinalPregame: FSU 47%Baseline: FSU 22.8% (−24.2)Big swing: 27.2 ptsClutch window: 2:13
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM | 10 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 36 |
| FSU | 7 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 24 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to CLEM−30.2 points for FSU over the last 5:00
Big swing27.2 ptstoward CLEM at 4:47 of game time
Clutch window2:13within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineFSU 22.8%game average, −24.2 points from the pregame 46.9%
Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CLEM | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | CLEM351 | FSU415 |
| First downs | CLEM19 | FSU21 |
| 3rd down | CLEM4/17 | FSU1/10 |
| 4th down | CLEM2/2 | FSU0/1 |
| Turnovers | CLEM0 | FSU4 |
| Penalties-yards | CLEM6-70 | FSU6-43 |
| Time of possession | CLEM34:11 | FSU25:49 |
Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CLEM | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CLEM36 | FSU24 |
| Average win probability | CLEM77% | FSU23% |
| Longest scoring run | CLEM+19 | FSU+14 |
| Time leading | CLEM44:04 | FSU0:00 |
Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET
Tigers53%
Win chanceSeminoles47%
SpreadCLEM −1closing model spread
Total53
Moneyline−113away / +113homeaway / home
Line movementFSU win chance, 27 stored lines
−8 pts for FSU between Oct 28 and Oct 31
61%41%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | FSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 47% | −8 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 55% | — |
- Ratings
- FSU 1468 · CLEM 1541
- Home spread
- +1
- Stored
- Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET · 2026-11-01 02:11 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Clemson Tigers 36, Florida State Seminoles 24. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
TigersSeminoles
Neutrals only–
TigersSeminoles
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Seminoles–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Clemson vs Florida State odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Tigers at 36% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 36% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 53% when last read, .
| Source | CLEM | FSU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 36% | 65% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 36% | 65% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 53% | 47% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, FSU: +18Polymarket minus model, FSU: +18
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 1-point favorite, with a 53% chance to win. The model total is 53. Ratings: Seminoles 1438 (88th of 138), Tigers 1571 (41st). The Seminoles have won 1 of their last 5; the Tigers 3 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Seminoles won 1, the Tigers 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Clemson Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Florida State Seminoles | W 36–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Virginia Tech Hokies | L 16–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Miami Hurricanes | L 13–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Golden Bears | W 24–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Carolina Tar Heels | W 28–20 | – | – | matchup |
Florida State Seminoles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Clemson Tigers | L 24–36 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami Hurricanes | L 35–43 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisville Cardinals | L 20–44 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Virginia Cavaliers | W 38–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama Crimson Tide | L 36–50 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles at Clemson Tigers | 10–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles | 29–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| Florida State Seminoles at Clemson Tigers | 31–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles | 34–28 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Clemson Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Florida State Seminoles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Tigers– 8th · W1
- Tigers rating1571 41st of 138, 7 games
- Seminoles– 15th · L3
- Seminoles rating1438 88th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 8th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CLEM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CLEM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CLEM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CLEM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Clemson Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 15th · streak L3
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FSU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $FSU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $FSU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $FSU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Florida State Seminoles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles
Sign in to post a take on $CLEMFSU261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Clemson 36, Florida State 24. Bandwagon's model had the Clemson at 53% and projected Clemson 27, Florida State 26; spread Clemson −1, total 53. Last read: Kalshi 36%, Polymarket 36% for Clemson.