College Football Week 10 odds: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket (Nov 3–7, 2026)
Bandwagon's model has a line on 62 of 62 College Football Week 10 games. Its biggest favorite is North Texas at 95%, against Rice; its closest game is Georgia at Ole Miss, 50%–50%. The largest gap with a market is Tulsa at Tulane: the model gives Tulane 84% and Kalshi 42% (42 points). Model as of Nov 7, 8:24 PM ET; prices as of Nov 7, 10:18 PM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
College Football Week 10 slate
62 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio at Akron | Ohio 89% | Ohio −20 | 52.5 | Ohio 82% | Ohio 82% | – | Ohio 28, Akron 20 model's favorite won | |
| Buffalo at Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) 60% | Miami (OH) −4 | 51.5 | Miami (OH) 70% | Miami (OH) 70% | – | Buffalo 34, Miami (OH) 31 model's favorite lost | |
| Ball State at Massachusetts | Massachusetts 52% | Massachusetts −0.5 | 52.5 | Massachusetts 60% | Massachusetts 56% | – | Ball State 30, Massachusetts 31 model's favorite won | |
| Toledo at Sacramento State | Toledo 83% | Toledo −15.5 | 53.5 | Toledo 95% | Toledo 95% | – | Toledo 20, Sacramento State 17 model's favorite won | |
| Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan | Central Michigan 54% | Central Michigan −1.5 | 50 | Central Michigan 49% | Central Michigan 56% | – | Central Michigan 35, Eastern Michigan 7 model's favorite won | |
| UTSA at Florida Atlantic | UTSA 78% | UTSA −12.5 | 61 | UTSA 72% | UTSA 72% | – | UTSA 29, Florida Atlantic 60 model's favorite lost | |
| James Madison at Southern Miss | James Madison 88% | James Madison −20 | 55 | James Madison 83% | James Madison 84% | – | James Madison 54, Southern Miss 23 model's favorite won | |
| Virginia Tech at SMU | SMU 78% | SMU −12 | 54 | SMU 66% | SMU 67% | – | Virginia Tech 28, SMU 51 model's favorite won | |
| South Florida at East Carolina | South Florida 56% | South Florida −2.5 | 47 | South Florida 48% | South Florida 49% | – | South Florida 17, East Carolina 20 model's favorite lost | |
| Nebraska at Illinois | Illinois 61% | Illinois −4.5 | 52 | Illinois 37% | Illinois 36% | – | Nebraska 13, Illinois 24 model's favorite won | |
| New Mexico at Nevada | New Mexico 74% | New Mexico −10.5 | 48.5 | New Mexico 79% | New Mexico 79% | – | New Mexico 31, Nevada 3 model's favorite won | |
| TCU at Arizona | Arizona 75% | Arizona −10.5 | 48 | Arizona 69% | Arizona 69% | – | TCU 28, Arizona 29 model's favorite won | |
| BYU at Utah | Utah 70% | Utah −8.5 | 51 | Utah 63% | Utah 64% | – | BYU 20, Utah 28 model's favorite won | |
| Clemson at Syracuse | Clemson 71% | Clemson −8.5 | 52 | Clemson 52% | Clemson 52% | – | Clemson 18, Syracuse 13 model's favorite won | |
| Florida State at Boston College | Boston College 60% | Boston College −4 | 55 | Boston College 34% | Boston College 34% | – | Florida State 31, Boston College 24 model's favorite lost | |
| Iowa State at Baylor | Baylor 65% | Baylor −6 | 52.5 | Baylor 76% | Baylor 77% | – | Iowa State 31, Baylor 42 model's favorite won | |
| Texas at Missouri | Texas 55% | Texas −2 | 50 | Texas 56% | Texas 56% | – | Texas 34, Missouri 20 model's favorite won | |
| Tulsa at Tulane | Tulane 84% | Tulane −16.5 | 52.5 | Tulane 42% | Tulane 43% | – | Tulsa 60, Tulane 10 model's favorite lost | |
| UCLA at Minnesota | UCLA 59% | UCLA −3.5 | 48.5 | UCLA 62% | UCLA 62% | – | UCLA 34, Minnesota 20 model's favorite won | |
| North Carolina at UConn | UConn 63% | UConn −5 | 54 | UConn 27% | UConn 27% | – | North Carolina 38, UConn 21 model's favorite lost | |
| Duke at NC State | Duke 63% | Duke −5 | 51 | Duke 64% | Duke 64% | – | Duke 41, NC State 3 model's favorite won | |
| Maryland at Purdue | Purdue 69% | Purdue −8 | 57 | Purdue 65% | Purdue 65% | – | Maryland 34, Purdue 29 model's favorite lost | |
| Arkansas at Auburn | Auburn 70% | Auburn −8 | 51 | Auburn 79% | Auburn 78% | – | Arkansas 23, Auburn 26 model's favorite won | |
| Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina 62% | Coastal Carolina −4.5 | 50.5 | Coastal Carolina 70% | Coastal Carolina 70% | – | Old Dominion 21, Coastal Carolina 8 model's favorite lost | |
| Oklahoma State at Kansas State | Kansas State 70% | Kansas State −8.5 | 57.5 | Kansas State 30% | Kansas State 31% | – | Oklahoma State 66, Kansas State 28 model's favorite lost | |
| Georgia State at App State | App State 70% | App State −8.5 | 53.5 | – | – | – | Georgia State 39, App State 23 model's favorite lost | |
| Delaware at Kennesaw State | Delaware 51% | Delaware −0.5 | 53 | Delaware 51% | Delaware 52% | – | Delaware 40, Kennesaw State 42 model's favorite lost | |
| Texas A&M at South Carolina | South Carolina 65% | South Carolina −6 | 54.5 | South Carolina 69% | South Carolina 69% | – | Texas A&M 9, South Carolina 17 model's favorite won | |
| UL Monroe at Arkansas State | Arkansas State 88% | Arkansas State −19.5 | 54.5 | Arkansas State 85% | Arkansas State 84% | – | UL Monroe 19, Arkansas State 17 model's favorite lost | |
| Alabama at LSU | LSU 55% | LSU −2 | 55 | LSU 67% | LSU 68% | – | Alabama 31, LSU 13 model's favorite lost | |
| Cincinnati at Houston | Houston 75% | Houston −11 | 56 | Houston 78% | Houston 78% | – | Cincinnati 24, Houston 31 model's favorite won | |
| Charlotte at UAB | UAB 81% | UAB −14 | 52.5 | UAB 74% | UAB 75% | – | Charlotte 12, UAB 23 model's favorite won | |
| Marshall at Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern 58% | Georgia Southern −3 | 50.5 | Georgia Southern 73% | Georgia Southern 73% | – | Marshall 13, Georgia Southern 49 model's favorite won | |
| Oregon at Ohio State | Ohio State 74% | Ohio State −10 | 52 | Ohio State 73% | Ohio State 74% | – | Oregon 41, Ohio State 28 model's favorite lost | |
| Penn State at Washington | Washington 66% | Washington −6.5 | 49.5 | Washington 55% | Washington 55% | – | Penn State 28, Washington 25 model's favorite lost | |
| Temple at Navy | Navy 82% | Navy −15 | 53.5 | Navy 72% | Navy 73% | – | Temple 35, Navy 42 model's favorite won | |
| Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee | Western Kentucky 53% | Western Kentucky −1.5 | 53 | Western Kentucky 55% | Western Kentucky 55% | – | Western Kentucky 42, Middle Tennessee 51 model's favorite lost | |
| UCF at Kansas | Kansas 59% | Kansas −3.5 | 52.5 | Kansas 67% | Kansas 68% | – | UCF 33, Kansas 32 model's favorite lost | |
| Louisiana Tech at Troy | Louisiana Tech 61% | Louisiana Tech −4.5 | 50 | Louisiana Tech 71% | Louisiana Tech 72% | – | Louisiana Tech 41, Troy 17 model's favorite won | |
| Missouri State at Florida International | Florida International 67% | Florida International −7 | 50 | Florida International 65% | Florida International 64% | – | Missouri State 20, Florida International 23 model's favorite won | |
| Northern Illinois at San José State | San José State 79% | San José State −13 | 50 | San José State 80% | San José State 80% | – | Northern Illinois 19, San José State 30 model's favorite won | |
| Rice at North Texas | North Texas 95% | North Texas −28 | 60.5 | North Texas 86% | North Texas 86% | – | Rice 23, North Texas 52 model's favorite won | |
| Rutgers at Wisconsin | Wisconsin 83% | Wisconsin −15.5 | 51.5 | Wisconsin 90% | Wisconsin 90% | – | Rutgers 10, Wisconsin 31 model's favorite won | |
| Vanderbilt at Mississippi State | Mississippi State 56% | Mississippi State −2.5 | 54.5 | Mississippi State 57% | Mississippi State 57% | – | Vanderbilt 25, Mississippi State 23 model's favorite lost | |
| South Alabama at Louisiana | Louisiana 73% | Louisiana −10 | 57 | Louisiana 71% | Louisiana 71% | – | South Alabama 26, Louisiana 28 model's favorite won | |
| Boise State at Colorado State | Boise State 91% | Boise State −23 | 62 | Boise State 87% | Boise State 87% | – | Boise State 64, Colorado State 38 model's favorite won | |
| Kentucky at Tennessee | Tennessee 69% | Tennessee −8 | 52.5 | Tennessee 66% | Tennessee 67% | – | Kentucky 6, Tennessee 34 model's favorite won | |
| Sam Houston at Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State 94% | Jacksonville State −27.5 | 47.5 | Jacksonville State 87% | Jacksonville State 88% | – | Sam Houston 14, Jacksonville State 47 model's favorite won | |
| Air Force at Army | Army 67% | Army −7 | 55 | Army 62% | Army 62% | – | Air Force 24, Army 21 model's favorite lost | |
| Colorado at Arizona State | Arizona State 82% | Arizona State −14.5 | 52.5 | Arizona State 60% | Arizona State 59% | – | Colorado 10, Arizona State 20 model's favorite won | |
| Georgia at Ole Miss | Ole Miss 50% | even | 56 | Ole Miss 38% | Ole Miss 38% | – | Georgia 42, Ole Miss 7 no favorite | |
| Iowa at Northwestern | Iowa 57% | Iowa −3 | 49 | Iowa 59% | Iowa 59% | – | Iowa 24, Northwestern 10 model's favorite won | |
| Louisville at Georgia Tech | Louisville 80% | Louisville −13.5 | 58 | Louisville 85% | Louisville 85% | – | Louisville 44, Georgia Tech 17 model's favorite won | |
| Miami at Notre Dame | Notre Dame 54% | Notre Dame −2 | 56 | Notre Dame 71% | Notre Dame 72% | – | Miami 24, Notre Dame 31 model's favorite won | |
| Michigan State at Michigan | Michigan 89% | Michigan −20 | 46 | Michigan 85% | Michigan 85% | – | Michigan State 15, Michigan 6 model's favorite lost | |
| Oklahoma at Florida | Florida 53% | Florida −1 | 53.5 | Florida 64% | Florida 64% | – | Oklahoma 23, Florida 7 model's favorite lost | |
| Liberty at New Mexico State | Liberty 82% | Liberty −14.5 | 49 | Liberty 86% | Liberty 86% | – | Liberty 30, New Mexico State 14 model's favorite won | |
| Fresno State at Utah State | Fresno State 61% | Fresno State −4 | 48 | Fresno State 50% | Fresno State 51% | – | Fresno State 10, Utah State 17 model's favorite lost | |
| Hawai'i at UTEP | Hawai'i 74% | Hawai'i −10.5 | 49.5 | Hawai'i 72% | Hawai'i 73% | – | Hawai'i 17, UTEP 14 model's favorite won | |
| West Virginia at Texas Tech | Texas Tech 89% | Texas Tech −20 | 59.5 | Texas Tech 86% | Texas Tech 86% | – | West Virginia 48, Texas Tech 53 model's favorite won | |
| Texas State at Oregon State | Texas State 55% | Texas State −2 | 61.5 | Texas State 36% | Texas State 37% | – | Texas State 42, Oregon State 21 model's favorite won | |
| Wyoming at UNLV | UNLV 78% | UNLV −12.5 | 48 | UNLV 61% | UNLV 61% | – | Wyoming 41, UNLV 35 model's favorite lost |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
The model's record this week
The model's favorite won 38 of 61 finished College Football games that had a favorite (62%). Each line is the one stored before kickoff. Not counted: 1 finished game with no favorite. The model's record