Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs San Diego State Aztecs prediction, odds and picks, November 11, 2026
- Projected winnerSan Diego State 80%
- Projected scoreSan Diego State 79, Bethune-Cookman 69
- Model spreadSan Diego State −10 total 148.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats or San Diego State Aztecs: the bandwagon
Axle 20–80Market –
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at San Diego State Aztecs win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs San Diego State Aztecs live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs San Diego State Aztecs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | BCU | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BCU– | SDSU– |
| Average win probability | BCU– | SDSU– |
| Longest scoring run | BCU– | SDSU– |
| Time leading | BCU– | SDSU– |
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs San Diego State Aztecs odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SDSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET | 80% | +1 |
| Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 79% | +2 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 77% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 81% | +16 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- SDSU 1612 · BCU 1488
- Home spread
- −10
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:05 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs San Diego State Aztecs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Aztecs a 10-point favorite at home, with a 80% chance to win. The model total is 148.5. Ratings: Aztecs 1612 (40th of 361), Wildcats 1488 (198th). The Aztecs are 1-0; the Wildcats are 0-1. The Aztecs have won 4 of their last 5; the Wildcats 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Furman Paladins | L 70–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Prairie View A&M Panthers | L 67–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida A&M Rattlers | L 77–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southern Jaguars | W 82–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Grambling Tigers | W 76–71 | – | – | matchup |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Cal State Fullerton Titans | W 102–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah State Aggies | L 62–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Mexico Lobos | W 64–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado State Rams | W 71–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNLV Rebels | W 89–86 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
San Diego State Aztecs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wildcats0-1 7th · L1
- Wildcats rating1488 198th of 361, 1 games
- Aztecs1-0 5th · W1
- Aztecs rating1612 40th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $BCUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Bethune-Cookman Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SDSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Diego State Aztecs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at San Diego State Aztecs
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Model: San Diego State 80% to win. Projected score San Diego State 79, Bethune-Cookman 69; spread San Diego State −10, total 148.5. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at San Diego State Aztecs, Wed, Nov 11, 5:00 PM ET.