College Football Week 11 odds: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket (Nov 10–14, 2026)
Bandwagon's model has a line on 67 of 67 College Football Week 11 games. Its biggest favorite is Notre Dame at 96%, against Boston College; its closest game is Auburn at Mississippi State, 48%–52%. The largest gap with a market is Texas Tech at Oklahoma State: the model gives Texas Tech 75% and Polymarket 39% (36 points). Model as of Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET; prices as of Nov 11, 3:01 AM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
College Football Week 11 slate
67 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent State at Bowling Green | Bowling Green 69% | Bowling Green −8 | 49 | Bowling Green 64% | Bowling Green 63% | – | Kent State 28, Bowling Green 33 model's favorite won | |
| Western Michigan at Akron | Western Michigan 88% | Western Michigan −19 | 49.5 | Western Michigan 86% | Western Michigan 86% | – | Western Michigan 42, Akron 14 model's favorite won | |
| Ohio at Miami (OH) | Ohio 67% | Ohio −7 | 53.5 | Ohio 52% | Ohio 52% | – | Ohio 17, Miami (OH) 34 model's favorite lost | |
| Buffalo at Ball State | Buffalo 71% | Buffalo −9 | 53.5 | Buffalo 53% | Buffalo 52% | – | – | |
| Massachusetts at Toledo | Toledo 92% | Toledo −24.5 | 53.5 | Toledo 84% | Toledo 84% | – | – | |
| Sacramento State at Central Michigan | Central Michigan 81% | Central Michigan −14.5 | 49 | Central Michigan 90% | Central Michigan 90% | – | – | |
| Memphis at South Florida | South Florida 53% | South Florida −1.5 | 50.5 | South Florida 39% | South Florida 39% | – | – | |
| Louisiana at UL Monroe | Louisiana 81% | Louisiana −14.5 | 53 | Louisiana 78% | Louisiana 79% | – | – | |
| Florida State at Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh 72% | Pittsburgh −9 | 55 | Pittsburgh 60% | Pittsburgh 61% | – | – | |
| Illinois at UCLA | UCLA 71% | UCLA −9 | 50 | UCLA 77% | UCLA 78% | – | – | |
| Houston at Colorado | Houston 84% | Houston −16 | 51 | Houston 79% | Houston 78% | – | – | |
| Auburn at Mississippi State | Mississippi State 52% | Mississippi State −1 | 52.5 | Mississippi State 44% | Mississippi State 44% | – | – | |
| Cincinnati at Iowa State | Iowa State 59% | Iowa State −3.5 | 57.5 | Iowa State 59% | Iowa State 59% | – | – | |
| Duke at Miami | Miami 77% | Miami −12 | 53 | Miami 83% | Miami 83% | – | – | |
| James Madison at UConn | James Madison 81% | James Madison −14 | 57 | James Madison 64% | James Madison 64% | – | – | |
| Northwestern at Ohio State | Ohio State 84% | Ohio State −16.5 | 52.5 | Ohio State 80% | Ohio State 81% | – | – | |
| Syracuse at NC State | NC State 74% | NC State −10 | 53.5 | NC State 44% | NC State 44% | – | – | |
| Wake Forest at SMU | SMU 59% | SMU −4 | 56 | SMU 50% | SMU 50% | – | – | |
| Wisconsin at Maryland | Wisconsin 74% | Wisconsin −10 | 51 | Wisconsin 75% | Wisconsin 75% | – | – | |
| Georgia Tech at Clemson | Clemson 87% | Clemson −19 | 51.5 | Clemson 83% | Clemson 82% | – | – | |
| Nebraska at Rutgers | Nebraska 69% | Nebraska −8 | 53 | Nebraska 83% | Nebraska 82% | – | – | |
| Alabama at Vanderbilt | Alabama 80% | Alabama −13 | 55 | Alabama 88% | Alabama 87% | – | – | |
| Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina | Arkansas State 53% | Arkansas State −1 | 52 | Arkansas State 48% | Arkansas State 48% | – | – | |
| East Carolina at Charlotte | East Carolina 83% | East Carolina −15.5 | 51.5 | East Carolina 81% | East Carolina 80% | – | – | |
| UAB at Temple | UAB 60% | UAB −4 | 51 | UAB 46% | UAB 46% | – | – | |
| Kennesaw State at Sam Houston | Kennesaw State 75% | Kennesaw State −10.5 | 50 | Kennesaw State 72% | Kennesaw State 72% | – | – | |
| Kansas State at TCU | TCU 76% | TCU −11 | 49 | TCU 77% | TCU 78% | – | – | |
| Tulane at Rice | Tulane 74% | Tulane −10.5 | 55 | Tulane 46% | Tulane 46% | – | – | |
| Florida International at Delaware | Delaware 65% | Delaware −6 | 52 | Delaware 66% | Delaware 65% | – | – | |
| New Mexico State at Missouri State | Missouri State 66% | Missouri State −6.5 | 50.5 | Missouri State 52% | Missouri State 52% | – | – | |
| Tennessee at Texas A&M | Tennessee 67% | Tennessee −6.5 | 48.5 | Tennessee 57% | Tennessee 57% | – | – | |
| Arizona State at UCF | Arizona State 57% | Arizona State −3 | 53 | Arizona State 41% | Arizona State 41% | – | – | |
| Baylor at BYU | BYU 76% | BYU −11 | 50.5 | BYU 72% | BYU 73% | – | – | |
| Boston College at Notre Dame | Notre Dame 96% | Notre Dame −31 | 52.5 | Notre Dame 98% | Notre Dame 97% | – | – | |
| California at Virginia | Virginia 78% | Virginia −12.5 | 51.5 | Virginia 79% | Virginia 79% | – | – | |
| Florida Atlantic at Tulsa | Tulsa 53% | Tulsa −1 | 61.5 | Tulsa 66% | Tulsa 66% | – | – | |
| Georgia Southern at Georgia State | Georgia Southern 64% | Georgia Southern −5.5 | 53.5 | Georgia Southern 64% | Georgia Southern 66% | – | – | |
| Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky | Jacksonville State 72% | Jacksonville State −9 | 52.5 | Jacksonville State 72% | Jacksonville State 72% | – | – | |
| Michigan at Oregon | Oregon 83% | Oregon −15.5 | 48 | Oregon 80% | Oregon 80% | – | – | |
| Missouri at Georgia | Georgia 87% | Georgia −19 | 52 | Georgia 87% | Georgia 87% | – | – | |
| Middle Tennessee at Liberty | Liberty 89% | Liberty −20.5 | 53 | Liberty 92% | Liberty 92% | – | – | |
| Nevada at Northern Illinois | Nevada 71% | Nevada −8.5 | 51.5 | Nevada 72% | Nevada 72% | – | – | |
| USC at Indiana | Indiana 81% | Indiana −14.5 | 51 | Indiana 72% | Indiana 73% | – | – | |
| Fresno State at Texas State | Texas State 64% | Texas State −6 | 56.5 | Texas State 76% | Texas State 77% | – | – | |
| Ole Miss at Oklahoma | Ole Miss 57% | Ole Miss −2.5 | 50.5 | Ole Miss 50% | Ole Miss 51% | – | – | |
| Washington at Michigan State | Washington 69% | Washington −8 | 47.5 | Washington 61% | Washington 62% | – | – | |
| Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech | Louisiana Tech 89% | Louisiana Tech −20.5 | 54.5 | Louisiana Tech 89% | Louisiana Tech 88% | – | – | |
| Kansas at West Virginia | West Virginia 67% | West Virginia −7 | 59.5 | West Virginia 57% | West Virginia 57% | – | – | |
| App State at Marshall | Marshall 74% | Marshall −10.5 | 52 | – | – | – | – | |
| Oregon State at Boise State | Boise State 91% | Boise State −23 | 60 | Boise State 83% | Boise State 83% | – | – | |
| Florida at Kentucky | Kentucky 73% | Kentucky −10 | 56 | Kentucky 61% | Kentucky 61% | – | – | |
| Louisville at North Carolina | Louisville 65% | Louisville −6 | 56.5 | Louisville 60% | Louisville 61% | – | – | |
| Minnesota at Penn State | Penn State 75% | Penn State −11 | 49 | Penn State 75% | Penn State 76% | – | – | |
| San José State at Air Force | Air Force 82% | Air Force −15 | 48.5 | Air Force 80% | Air Force 80% | – | – | |
| Troy at South Alabama | South Alabama 61% | South Alabama −4.5 | 55.5 | South Alabama 58% | South Alabama 58% | – | – | |
| Purdue at Iowa | Iowa 95% | Iowa −28 | 51 | Iowa 88% | Iowa 88% | – | – | |
| Stanford at Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech 73% | Virginia Tech −10 | 56 | Virginia Tech 85% | Virginia Tech 85% | – | – | |
| Texas at LSU | Texas 62% | Texas −5 | 51 | Texas 38% | Texas 37% | – | – | |
| UNLV at New Mexico | New Mexico 77% | New Mexico −11.5 | 49.5 | New Mexico 84% | New Mexico 85% | – | – | |
| Utah at Arizona | Utah 63% | Utah −5 | 53 | Utah 57% | Utah 56% | – | – | |
| South Carolina at Arkansas | South Carolina 74% | South Carolina −10 | 53 | South Carolina 74% | South Carolina 74% | – | – | |
| North Texas at UTSA | UTSA 53% | UTSA −1 | 63 | UTSA 46% | UTSA 46% | – | – | |
| Texas Tech at Oklahoma State | Texas Tech 75% | Texas Tech −10.5 | 62.5 | Texas Tech 40% | Texas Tech 39% | – | – | |
| Utah State at San Diego State | Utah State 55% | Utah State −1.5 | 50 | Utah State 57% | Utah State 56% | – | – | |
| Wyoming at UTEP | Wyoming 85% | Wyoming −16.5 | 48.5 | Wyoming 74% | Wyoming 74% | – | – | |
| Colorado State at Washington State | Washington State 69% | Washington State −8 | 59 | Washington State 75% | Washington State 76% | – | – | |
| North Dakota State at Hawai'i | North Dakota State 69% | North Dakota State −7.5 | 45.5 | North Dakota State 69% | North Dakota State 70% | – | – |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
The model's record this week
The model's favorite won 2 of 3 finished College Football games that had a favorite (67%). Each line is the one stored before kickoff. The model's record