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Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas A&M Aggies prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model

Tennessee at Texas A&M: Bandwagon's model makes Tennessee a 67% favorite (Tennessee −6.5); Kalshi prices them at 58%.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas A&M Aggies model odds and win probability

TENN · AWAYTennesseewon 4 of last 5
Kickoff
TA&M · HOMETexas A&Mwon 1 of last 5

Axle gives Tennessee a 67% chance to win, by about 7 points.

Tennessee 67%Texas A&M 33%
Projected score28–21Tennessee–Texas A&M
Model spreadTENN −6.5TA&M +6.5
Model total48.5points
Model moneyline−199 / +199TENN / TA&M

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Axle versus the markets and the crowd

Every CFB market

Each bar is the chance that Tennessee win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 67%.

Axle 2.0Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET67%
KalshiNov 11, 2:51 AM ET58%
PolymarketNov 11, 1:51 AM ET57%

The largest gap is 10 points: Axle has Tennessee at 67%, Polymarket at 57%.

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before kickoff

▲ TennesseeAxle's side · 67%▲ Texas A&MAxle 33%

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

Why Axle has Tennessee

All CFB ratings
TENN and TA&M side by side
TENNTA&M
Rating1693 15th of 1381543 54th of 138
Last 5 games4-11-4
StreakW1L2
Home fieldNoYes
Meetings won10

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementTA&M win chance, 78 stored lines
−8 pts for TA&M since Oct 28
47%28%
Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET: TA&M 42%Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET: TA&M 42%Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET: TA&M 41%Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET: TA&M 41%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: TA&M 41%Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET: TA&M 41%Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET: TA&M 41%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: TA&M 41%Nov 5, 11:36 PM ET: TA&M 41%Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET: TA&M 41%Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET: TA&M 41%Nov 7, 3:24 PM ET: TA&M 41%Nov 7, 3:29 PM ET: TA&M 41%Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET: TA&M 41%Nov 7, 5:49 PM ET: TA&M 41%Nov 7, 6:29 PM ET: TA&M 38%Nov 7, 6:59 PM ET: TA&M 38%Nov 7, 7:24 PM ET: TA&M 38%Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET: TA&M 38%Nov 7, 7:39 PM ET: TA&M 38%Nov 7, 8:09 PM ET: TA&M 38%Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET: TA&M 33%Nov 7, 11:05 PM ET: TA&M 33%Nov 7, 11:10 PM ET: TA&M 33%Nov 7, 11:20 PM ET: TA&M 33%Nov 8, 12:47 AM ET: TA&M 33%Nov 8, 12:52 AM ET: TA&M 33%Nov 8, 2:12 AM ET: TA&M 33%Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET: TA&M 33%Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: TA&M 33%Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET: TA&M 33%Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET: TA&M 33%
Oct 28Nov 4Now
Every stored line
StoredTA&M winMove
Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET33%0
Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET33%0
Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET33%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET33%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET33%0
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET33%0
Nov 8, 2:17 AM ET33%0
Nov 8, 2:12 AM ET33%0
Nov 8, 1:27 AM ET33%0
Nov 8, 12:52 AM ET33%0
Nov 8, 12:47 AM ET33%0
Nov 7, 11:31 PM ET33%0
Nov 7, 11:20 PM ET33%0
Nov 7, 11:15 PM ET33%0
Nov 7, 11:10 PM ET33%0
Nov 7, 11:05 PM ET33%0
Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET33%0
Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET33%−5
Nov 7, 8:24 PM ET38%0
Nov 7, 8:09 PM ET38%0
Nov 7, 7:44 PM ET38%0
Nov 7, 7:39 PM ET38%0
Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET38%0
Nov 7, 7:29 PM ET38%0
Nov 7, 7:24 PM ET38%0
Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET38%0
Nov 7, 6:59 PM ET38%0
Nov 7, 6:29 PM ET38%−3
Nov 7, 6:09 PM ET41%0
Nov 7, 5:49 PM ET41%0
Nov 7, 4:29 PM ET41%0
Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET41%0
Nov 7, 3:49 PM ET41%0
Nov 7, 3:29 PM ET41%0
Nov 7, 3:24 PM ET41%0
Nov 7, 3:19 PM ET41%0
Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET41%0
Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET41%0
Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET41%0
Nov 5, 11:36 PM ET41%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET41%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET41%0
Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET41%0
Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET41%0
Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET41%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET41%0
Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET41%0
Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET41%0
Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET41%0
Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET41%0
Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET41%0
Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET41%0
Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET41%0
Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET41%0
Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET41%0
Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET41%−1
Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET42%0
Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET42%+1
Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET41%0
Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET41%−1
Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET42%+1
Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET41%0
Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET41%0
Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET41%0
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET41%0
Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET41%0
Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET41%0
Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET41%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET41%0
Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET41%0
Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET41%0
Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET41%0
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET41%0
Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET41%0
Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET41%0
Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET41%0
Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET41%—

Tennessee vs Texas A&M odds on Kalshi and Polymarket

Every College football market

Kalshi prices Volunteers at 58%, Polymarket at 57% (1 point apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 67%.

Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .

SourceTENNTA&MPrice read
Kalshi58%42%
Polymarket57%43%
Bandwagon model67%33% · model 2.0
Kalshi minus model, TA&M: +9Polymarket minus model, TA&M: +10

Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works

Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas A&M Aggies prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Volunteers a 6.5-point favorite, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 48.5. Ratings: Aggies 1543 (54th of 138), Volunteers 1693 (15th). The Aggies have won 1 of their last 5; the Volunteers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Aggies won 0, the Volunteers 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

Tennessee Volunteers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Kentucky WildcatsW 34–6––matchup
at South Carolina GamecocksL 24–27––matchup
vs Alabama Crimson TideW 26–10––matchup
at Arkansas RazorbacksW 24–17––matchup
vs Auburn TigersW 24–14––matchup

Texas A&M Aggies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at South Carolina GamecocksL 9–17––matchup
at Alabama Crimson TideL 20–31––matchup
at Missouri TigersL 6–27––matchup
vs Arkansas RazorbacksW 34–7––matchup
at LSU TigersL 6–35––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Texas A&M Aggies at Tennessee Volunteers13–20––matchup

Injuries

Tennessee Volunteers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Texas A&M Aggies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Volunteers– 5th · W1
  • Volunteers rating1693 15th of 138, 8 games
  • Aggies– 14th · L2
  • Aggies rating1543 54th of 138, 8 games

More CFB games in the next 7 days

Bulls vs CardinalsAxle: Bulls 71%Kalshi 53%Minutemen vs RocketsAxle: Rockets 92%Kalshi 84%Hornets vs ChippewasAxle: Chippewas 81%Kalshi 90%Tigers vs BullsAxle: Bulls 53%Kalshi 39%
Tennessee pageTexas A&M pageCFB odds boardCFB on Kalshi and PolymarketWeekly pick'emAxle's recordOdds calculators

The bandwagon on each team

Tennessee Volunteers

NCAA Division I FBS football · 5th · streak W1

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TENN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TENN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TENN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TENN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tennessee Volunteers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Volunteers roster, schedule and more

Texas A&M Aggies

NCAA Division I FBS football · 14th · streak L2

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TAM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TAM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TAM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TAM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas A&M Aggies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Aggies roster, schedule and more

Takes on Tennessee Volunteers at Texas A&M Aggies

Sign in to post a take on $TENNTAM261114: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Model: Tennessee 67% to win. Projected score Tennessee 28, Texas A&M 21; spread Tennessee −6.5, total 48.5. Kalshi 58%, Polymarket 57% for Tennessee. Tennessee Volunteers at Texas A&M Aggies, Sat, Nov 14, 3:00 PM ET.