Saint Joseph's Hawks vs South Florida Bulls prediction, odds and picks, November 11, 2026
- Projected winnerSouth Florida 62%
- Projected scoreSouth Florida 76, Saint Joseph's 72
- Model spreadSouth Florida −4.5 total 148
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Saint Joseph's Hawks or South Florida Bulls: the bandwagon
Axle 38–62Market –
Saint Joseph's Hawks at South Florida Bulls win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs South Florida Bulls live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs South Florida Bulls team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | JOES | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Score | JOES– | USF– |
| Average win probability | JOES– | USF– |
| Longest scoring run | JOES– | USF– |
| Time leading | JOES– | USF– |
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs South Florida Bulls odds
Every stored line
| Stored | USF win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET | 62% | −1 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 63% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 62% | +5 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 57% | +7 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 50% | — |
- Ratings
- USF 1637 · JOES 1575
- Home spread
- −4.5 · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:25 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- total 145.5 → 148, home 63% → 62%
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs South Florida Bulls prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bulls a 4.5-point favorite, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 148. Ratings: Bulls 1637 (27th of 361), Hawks 1568 (72nd). The Bulls are 1-0; the Hawks are 0-0. The Bulls have won 4 of their last 5; the Hawks 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Bulls won 1, the Hawks 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Longwood Lancers | W 82–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Mexico Lobos | L 69–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Golden Bears | W 76–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado State Rams | W 69–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at VCU Rams | L 64–77 | – | – | matchup |
South Florida Bulls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers | W 98–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisville Cardinals | L 79–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wichita State Shockers | W 70–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte 49ers | W 86–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte 49ers | W 83–60 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls at Saint Joseph's Hawks | 75–62 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Saint Joseph's Hawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
South Florida Bulls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Hawks0-0 13th · -
- Hawks rating1568 72nd of 361, 0 games
- Bulls1-0 7th · W1
- Bulls rating1637 27th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 13th · streak -
1 stance today on $JOESMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Saint Joseph's Hawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $USFMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Florida Bulls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Saint Joseph's Hawks at South Florida Bulls
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Model: South Florida 62% to win. Projected score South Florida 76, Saint Joseph's 72; spread South Florida −4.5, total 148. Saint Joseph's Hawks at South Florida Bulls, Wed, Nov 11, 3:00 PM ET.