Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs East Texas A&M Lions prediction, odds and picks, November 11, 2026
- Projected winnerEast Texas A&M 70%
- Projected scoreEast Texas A&M 76, Fairleigh Dickinson 70
- Model spreadEast Texas A&M −7 total 146
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights or East Texas A&M Lions: the bandwagon
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Axle 30–70Market –
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at East Texas A&M Lions win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs East Texas A&M Lions live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs East Texas A&M Lions team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | FDU | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Score | FDU– | ETAM– |
| Average win probability | FDU– | ETAM– |
| Longest scoring run | FDU– | ETAM– |
| Time leading | FDU– | ETAM– |
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs East Texas A&M Lions odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ETAM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET | 70% | +2 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 68% | +2 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 66% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 65% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 66% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- ETAM 1410 · FDU 1377
- Home spread
- −7
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:40 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs East Texas A&M Lions prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lions a 7-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win. The model total is 146. Ratings: Lions 1410 (307th of 361), Knights 1389 (331st). The Lions are 1-0; the Knights are 0-1. The Lions have won 1 of their last 5; the Knights 0 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Lions won 1, the Knights 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Butler Bulldogs | L 65–99 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Illinois Fighting Illini | L 45–120 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Mercyhurst Lakers | L 61–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Long Island University Sharks | L 60–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Le Moyne Dolphins | L 59–76 | – | – | matchup |
East Texas A&M Lions
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Oklahoma Sooners | W 68–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | L 71–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | L 55–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Christian Huskies | L 68–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Incarnate Word Cardinals | L 73–82 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Texas A&M Lions at Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 70–65 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
East Texas A&M Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Knights0-1 4th · L1
- Knights rating1389 331st of 361, 1 games
- Lions1-0 1st · W1
- Lions rating1410 307th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak L1
1 stance today on $FDUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ETAMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the East Texas A&M Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at East Texas A&M Lions
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Model: East Texas A&M 70% to win. Projected score East Texas A&M 76, Fairleigh Dickinson 70; spread East Texas A&M −7, total 146. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at East Texas A&M Lions, Wed, Nov 11, 11:30 AM ET.