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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Madison Square Garden · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Quinnipiac Bobcats vs St. John's Red Storm prediction, odds and picks, November 11, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Quinnipiac Bobcats or St. John's Red Storm: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 49–51Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: SJU 51%
Record 0-0
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Game clock
KickoffWednesday, November 11 at 2:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Quinnipiac Bobcats at St. John's Red Storm win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Quinnipiac Bobcats vs St. John's Red Storm live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Quinnipiac Bobcats vs St. John's Red Storm team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatQUINSJU
ScoreQUIN–SJU–
Average win probabilityQUIN–SJU–
Longest scoring runQUIN–SJU–
Time leadingQUIN–SJU–

Quinnipiac Bobcats vs St. John's Red Storm odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 10 h ago
Bobcats49%
Win chance
Red Storm51%
SpreadSJU −3
Total130.5
Moneyline+103away / −103homeaway / home
Line movementSJU win chance, 32 stored lines
−12 pts for SJU since Oct 29
69%39%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: SJU 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: SJU 45%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: SJU 45%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: SJU 45%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: SJU 48%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: SJU 48%Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET: SJU 48%Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET: SJU 48%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: SJU 48%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: SJU 48%Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET: SJU 48%Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: SJU 51%Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET: SJU 51%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: SJU 51%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: SJU 51%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredSJU winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET51%+3
Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET48%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET48%+3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET45%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET45%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET45%−18
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
SJU 1581 · QUIN 1645
Home spread
−3
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BobcatsRed Storm
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Red Storm–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Quinnipiac Bobcats vs St. John's Red Storm prediction

Bandwagon's model has this one even: 51% for the Red Storm. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Red Storm 1581 (91st of 356), Bobcats 1645 (41st). The Red Storm are 1-0; the Bobcats are 0-0. The Red Storm have won 2 of their last 5; the Bobcats 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Red Storm won 1, the Bobcats 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Quinnipiac Bobcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Stanford CardinalL 69–81––matchup
at George Mason PatriotsW 71–64––matchup
vs Fairfield StagsL 44–51––matchup
vs Iona GaelsW 63–62––matchup
vs Manhattan JaspersW 59–43––matchup

St. John's Red Storm

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Lafayette LeopardsW 95–37––matchup
at Columbia LionsL 26–74––matchup
at Seton Hall PiratesL 61–63––matchup
vs Xavier MusketeersW 53–48––matchup
vs UConn HuskiesL 49–85––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
St. John's Red Storm at Quinnipiac Bobcats53–51––matchup

Injuries

Quinnipiac Bobcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

St. John's Red Storm: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bobcats0-0 9th · -
  • Bobcats rating1645 41st of 356, 0 games
  • Red Storm1-0 2nd · W1
  • Red Storm rating1581 91st of 356, 1 games

Quinnipiac Bobcats 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $QUINWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $QUINWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $QUINWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $QUINWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Quinnipiac Bobcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bobcats roster, schedule and more

St. John's Red Storm 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SJUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SJUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SJUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SJUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. John's Red Storm bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Red Storm roster, schedule and more

Takes on Quinnipiac Bobcats at St. John's Red Storm

Sign in to post a take on $QUINWBBSJUWBB261111: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: even. Projected score St. John's 67, Quinnipiac 64; spread St. John's −3, total 130.5. Quinnipiac Bobcats at St. John's Red Storm, Wed, Nov 11, 2:00 PM ET.