Lafayette Leopards vs St. John's Red Storm: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreLafayette 37, St. John's 95 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerSt. John's 84%
- Pregame Projected scoreSt. John's 72, Lafayette 58
- Model spreadSt. John's −14 total 130.5
- Margin58 projected 14
- Total132 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Lafayette Leopards or St. John's Red Storm: the bandwagon
Axle 16–84Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 9 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37 |
| SJU | 18 | 22 | 30 | 25 | 95 |
Lafayette Leopards at St. John's Red Storm win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Lafayette Leopards vs St. John's Red Storm live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | LAF | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | LAF9/36 | SJU32/58 |
| 3-pointers | LAF3/16 | SJU10/19 |
| Free throws | LAF16/24 | SJU21/29 |
| Rebounds | LAF21 | SJU37 |
| Assists | LAF5 | SJU16 |
| Turnovers | LAF26 | SJU11 |
| Steals | LAF7 | SJU19 |
| Blocks | LAF1 | SJU3 |
| Points in the paint | LAF10 | SJU40 |
| Fast-break points | LAF5 | SJU13 |
| Fouls | LAF19 | SJU21 |
| Largest lead | LAF2 | SJU60 |
Lafayette Leopards vs St. John's Red Storm team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | LAF | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAF37 | SJU95 |
| Average win probability | LAF4% | SJU96% |
| Longest scoring run | LAF+5 | SJU+13 |
| Time leading | LAF0:42 | SJU37:39 |
Lafayette Leopards vs St. John's Red Storm odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SJU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 84% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 88% | +25 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- SJU 1568 · LAF 1412
- Home spread
- −14
- Stored
- Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET · 2026-11-02 20:02 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Lafayette Leopards 37, St. John's Red Storm 95. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Lafayette Leopards vs St. John's Red Storm prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Red Storm a 14-point favorite at home, with a 84% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Red Storm 1581 (91st of 356), Leopards 1399 (280th). The Red Storm are 1-0; the Leopards are 0-1. The Red Storm have won 2 of their last 5; the Leopards 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Lafayette Leopards
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at St. John's Red Storm | L 37–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Army Black Knights | L 57–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colgate Raiders | W 66–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Army Black Knights | L 42–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at American University Eagles | W 56–41 | – | – | matchup |
St. John's Red Storm
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Lafayette Leopards | W 95–37 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Columbia Lions | L 26–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Seton Hall Pirates | L 61–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Xavier Musketeers | W 53–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UConn Huskies | L 49–85 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Lafayette Leopards: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
St. John's Red Storm: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Leopards0-1 8th · L1
- Leopards rating1399 280th of 356, 1 games
- Red Storm1-0 8th · W1
- Red Storm rating1581 91st of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $LAFWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Lafayette Leopards bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SJUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. John's Red Storm bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Lafayette Leopards at St. John's Red Storm
Sign in to post a take on $LAFWBBSJUWBB261102: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Final: Lafayette 37, St. John's 95. Bandwagon's model had the St. John's at 84% and projected St. John's 72, Lafayette 58; spread St. John's −14, total 130.5.