College Football Week 12 odds: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket (Nov 17–21, 2026)
Bandwagon's model has a line on 66 of 66 College Football Week 12 games. Its biggest favorite is Air Force at 95%, against UTEP; its closest game is Stanford at California, 50%–50%. The largest gap with a market is Virginia Tech at Miami: the model gives Miami 92% and Polymarket 50% (42 points). Model as of Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET; prices as of Nov 11, 2:51 AM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
College Football Week 12 slate
66 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State at Ohio | Ohio 90% | Ohio −21.5 | 53.5 | Ohio 76% | Ohio 79% | – | – | |
| Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan | Western Michigan 89% | Western Michigan −21 | 50 | Western Michigan 78% | Western Michigan 81% | – | – | |
| Miami (OH) at Kent State | Miami (OH) 75% | Miami (OH) −10.5 | 50 | Miami (OH) 76% | Miami (OH) 75% | – | – | |
| Akron at Massachusetts | Massachusetts 67% | Massachusetts −7 | 51.5 | Massachusetts 78% | Massachusetts 76% | – | – | |
| Central Michigan at Buffalo | Buffalo 67% | Buffalo −7 | 50.5 | Buffalo 44% | Buffalo 54% | – | – | |
| Rice at Temple | Temple 66% | Temple −6.5 | 54.5 | – | Temple 71% | – | – | |
| Iowa State at UCF | Iowa State 52% | Iowa State −1 | 55 | Iowa State 40% | Iowa State 39% | – | – | |
| Bowling Green at Toledo | Toledo 86% | Toledo −17.5 | 53.5 | Toledo 77% | Toledo 84% | – | – | |
| Clemson at Duke | Duke 73% | Duke −10 | 47.5 | Duke 58% | Duke 73% | – | – | |
| Oregon at Michigan State | Oregon 86% | Oregon −17.5 | 49.5 | Oregon 84% | Oregon 84% | – | – | |
| UTEP at Air Force | Air Force 95% | Air Force −28 | 51 | Air Force 88% | Air Force 86% | – | – | |
| New Mexico at Wyoming | New Mexico 68% | New Mexico −7.5 | 47 | New Mexico 73% | New Mexico 81% | – | – | |
| Arizona at Kansas State | Arizona 76% | Arizona −11 | 55 | Arizona 83% | Arizona 51% | – | – | |
| BYU at Kansas | BYU 83% | BYU −15 | 52 | BYU 88% | BYU 51% | – | – | |
| Houston at West Virginia | Houston 70% | Houston −8.5 | 59.5 | Houston 67% | Houston 50% | – | – | |
| Indiana at Washington | Indiana 78% | Indiana −12.5 | 48 | Indiana 75% | Indiana 49% | – | – | |
| Ohio State at Nebraska | Ohio State 75% | Ohio State −10.5 | 51.5 | Ohio State 61% | Ohio State 65% | – | – | |
| Pittsburgh at Louisville | Louisville 76% | Louisville −11.5 | 56.5 | – | Louisville 49% | – | – | |
| Rutgers at Penn State | Penn State 89% | Penn State −20.5 | 53 | Penn State 89% | Penn State 86% | – | – | |
| Texas Tech at Baylor | Texas Tech 63% | Texas Tech −5 | 55.5 | Texas Tech 55% | Texas Tech 50% | – | – | |
| UCLA at Michigan | UCLA 57% | UCLA −2.5 | 46 | UCLA 66% | UCLA 61% | – | – | |
| North Texas at Tulane | North Texas 68% | North Texas −7 | 60.5 | North Texas 71% | North Texas 58% | – | – | |
| Utah at TCU | Utah 78% | Utah −12.5 | 47 | Utah 89% | Utah 50% | – | – | |
| UTSA at UAB | UTSA 70% | UTSA −8.5 | 54 | – | UTSA 50% | – | – | |
| Virginia Tech at Miami | Miami 92% | Miami −23.5 | 56.5 | – | Miami 50% | – | – | |
| Wake Forest at Georgia Tech | Wake Forest 85% | Wake Forest −17 | 55.5 | Wake Forest 84% | Wake Forest 49% | – | – | |
| Colorado at Cincinnati | Cincinnati 81% | Cincinnati −14.5 | 53 | Cincinnati 70% | Cincinnati 77% | – | – | |
| East Carolina at Army | Army 63% | Army −5 | 52.5 | Army 77% | Army 64% | – | – | |
| Memphis at Navy | Memphis 61% | Memphis −4.5 | 57.5 | Memphis 86% | Memphis 63% | – | – | |
| Northwestern at Minnesota | Minnesota 49% | even | 49.5 | Minnesota 43% | Minnesota 35% | – | – | |
| Syracuse at Boston College | Boston College 65% | Boston College −6 | 52.5 | Boston College 33% | Boston College 41% | – | – | |
| Texas A&M at Oklahoma | Oklahoma 69% | Oklahoma −8 | 47 | Oklahoma 63% | Oklahoma 61% | – | – | |
| Vanderbilt at Florida | Florida 56% | Florida −2.5 | 56 | Florida 86% | Florida 82% | – | – | |
| Wisconsin at Purdue | Wisconsin 74% | Wisconsin −10 | 52 | Wisconsin 72% | Wisconsin 67% | – | – | |
| North Carolina at Virginia | Virginia 54% | Virginia −1.5 | 51 | Virginia 28% | Virginia 43% | – | – | |
| Western Kentucky at Liberty | Liberty 88% | Liberty −19.5 | 52.5 | Liberty 87% | Liberty 86% | – | – | |
| Charlotte at Tulsa | Tulsa 87% | Tulsa −18.5 | 55 | Tulsa 85% | Tulsa 86% | – | – | |
| Missouri State at Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State 87% | Jacksonville State −18.5 | 51.5 | Jacksonville State 80% | Jacksonville State 79% | – | – | |
| Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston | Middle Tennessee 67% | Middle Tennessee −7 | 52 | Middle Tennessee 69% | Middle Tennessee 54% | – | – | |
| Iowa at Illinois | Iowa 62% | Iowa −4.5 | 48 | Iowa 56% | Iowa 65% | – | – | |
| UL Monroe at App State | App State 79% | App State −13 | 52 | – | – | – | – | |
| South Florida at Florida Atlantic | South Florida 55% | South Florida −1.5 | 55 | – | South Florida 59% | – | – | |
| Coastal Carolina at Louisiana | Louisiana 81% | Louisiana −14.5 | 51.5 | – | Louisiana 78% | – | – | |
| Delaware at New Mexico State | Delaware 65% | Delaware −6 | 53 | – | Delaware 60% | – | – | |
| Florida International at Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State 59% | Kennesaw State −3.5 | 49.5 | – | Kennesaw State 57% | – | – | |
| Arkansas at Texas | Texas 95% | Texas −28.5 | 49.5 | Texas 89% | Texas 88% | – | – | |
| LSU at Tennessee | Tennessee 67% | Tennessee −7 | 50.5 | Tennessee 70% | Tennessee 50% | – | – | |
| NC State at Florida State | Florida State 59% | Florida State −3.5 | 56 | Florida State 87% | Florida State 75% | – | – | |
| Old Dominion at UConn | UConn 64% | UConn −5.5 | 51 | UConn 87% | UConn 78% | – | – | |
| Georgia Southern at Troy | Georgia Southern 65% | Georgia Southern −6 | 50 | – | Georgia Southern 68% | – | – | |
| Georgia State at Marshall | Marshall 70% | Marshall −8.5 | 55 | – | Marshall 40% | – | – | |
| Northern Illinois at North Dakota State | North Dakota State 95% | North Dakota State −29 | 49.5 | North Dakota State 90% | North Dakota State 88% | – | – | |
| South Alabama at Southern Miss | South Alabama 52% | South Alabama −1 | 59.5 | – | South Alabama 59% | – | – | |
| Washington State at Texas State | Texas State 87% | Texas State −19 | 55.5 | Texas State 87% | Texas State 86% | – | – | |
| Maryland at USC | USC 93% | USC −26 | 55.5 | USC 82% | USC 85% | – | – | |
| Arkansas State at Louisiana Tech | Louisiana Tech 81% | Louisiana Tech −14.5 | 52 | Louisiana Tech 85% | Louisiana Tech 81% | – | – | |
| UNLV at San José State | UNLV 68% | UNLV −7 | 48.5 | – | UNLV 66% | – | – | |
| Colorado State at Fresno State | Fresno State 89% | Fresno State −21 | 60 | Fresno State 82% | Fresno State 84% | – | – | |
| Georgia at South Carolina | Georgia 77% | Georgia −12 | 55 | Georgia 67% | Georgia 78% | – | – | |
| SMU at Notre Dame | Notre Dame 80% | Notre Dame −14 | 55.5 | Notre Dame 80% | Notre Dame 83% | – | – | |
| Stanford at California | California 50% | even | 55 | California 50% | California 59% | – | – | |
| Kentucky at Missouri | Missouri 67% | Missouri −7 | 52.5 | Missouri 48% | Missouri 61% | – | – | |
| San Diego State at Boise State | Boise State 92% | Boise State −24 | 58.5 | Boise State 89% | Boise State 88% | – | – | |
| Oklahoma State at Arizona State | Arizona State 64% | Arizona State −6 | 59 | Arizona State 34% | Arizona State 29% | – | – | |
| Hawai'i at Nevada | Nevada 57% | Nevada −2.5 | 47.5 | Nevada 74% | Nevada 64% | – | – | |
| Utah State at Oregon State | Utah State 53% | Utah State −1 | 51.5 | Utah State 34% | Utah State 28% | – | – |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.