Charlotte 49ers vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Charlotte at Tulsa: Bandwagon's model makes Tulsa an 87% favorite (Tulsa −18.5); Kalshi prices them at 85%.
Charlotte 49ers vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane model odds and win probability
Axle gives Tulsa a 87% chance to win, by about 18 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every CFB marketEach bar is the chance that Tulsa win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 87%.
The largest gap is 2 points: Axle has Tulsa at 87%, Kalshi at 85%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before kickoff
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Tulsa
All CFB ratings| CLT | TLSA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1236 134th of 138 | 1444 86th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | TLSA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:17 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:12 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 1:27 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:52 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:47 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:31 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:20 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:15 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:10 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:05 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:24 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:39 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:29 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:24 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:59 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:54 PM ET | 87% | +2 |
| Nov 7, 6:09 PM ET | 85% | −1 |
| Nov 7, 5:49 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:29 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:49 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:29 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:24 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:19 PM ET | 86% | +9 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 11:36 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | — |
Charlotte vs Tulsa odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Golden Hurricane at 85%, Polymarket at 86% (1 point apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 87%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | CLT | TLSA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 15% | 85% | ||
| Polymarket | 14% | 86% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 13% | 87% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Charlotte 49ers vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Golden Hurricane a 18.5-point favorite at home, with a 87% chance to win. The model total is 55. Ratings: Golden Hurricane 1444 (86th of 138), 49ers 1236 (134th). The Golden Hurricane have won 2 of their last 5; the 49ers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Golden Hurricane won 0, the 49ers 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Charlotte 49ers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UAB Blazers | L 12–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tulane Green Wave | L 31–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Temple Owls | W 38–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Texas Mean Green | L 10–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Memphis Tigers | L 8–59 | – | – | matchup |
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Tulane Green Wave | W 60–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Army Black Knights | L 35–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rice Owls | W 38–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Navy Midshipmen | L 26–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Texas Mean Green | L 44–45 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte 49ers at Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 33–26 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Charlotte 49ers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- 49ers– 13th · L2
- 49ers rating1236 134th of 138, 8 games
- Golden Hurricane– 9th · W1
- Golden Hurricane rating1444 86th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 13th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $CLT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Charlotte 49ers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TLSA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Charlotte 49ers at Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Sign in to post a take on $CLTTLSA261121: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Tulsa 87% to win. Projected score Tulsa 37, Charlotte 18; spread Tulsa −18.5, total 55. Kalshi 85%, Polymarket 86% for Tulsa. Charlotte 49ers at Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Sat, Nov 21, 2:00 PM ET.