Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
- Projected winnerDelaware 65%
- Projected scoreDelaware 29, New Mexico State 23
- Model spreadDelaware −6 total 52
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Delaware Blue Hens or New Mexico State Aggies: the bandwagon
Axle 65–35Market –
Delaware Blue Hens at New Mexico State Aggies win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | DEL | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | DEL– | NMSU– |
| Average win probability | DEL– | NMSU– |
| Longest scoring run | DEL– | NMSU– |
| Time leading | DEL– | NMSU– |
Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies odds
Every stored line
| Stored | NMSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 35% | — |
- Ratings
- NMSU 1324 · DEL 1463
- Home spread
- +6
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Blue Hens a 6-point favorite, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 52. Ratings: Aggies 1324 (125th of 138), Blue Hens 1463 (81st). The Aggies have won 2 of their last 5; the Blue Hens 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Delaware Blue Hens
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | W 35–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri State Bears | W 61–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | L 30–33 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Liberty Flames | L 14–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Virginia Cavaliers | L 3–42 | – | – | matchup |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks | L 0–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sam Houston Bearkats | W 30–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida International Panthers | L 3–22 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | W 34–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Mexico Lobos | L 18–42 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Delaware Blue Hens: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
New Mexico State Aggies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blue Hens– 3rd · W2
- Blue Hens rating1463 81st of 138, 7 games
- Aggies– 5th · L1
- Aggies rating1324 125th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 3rd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $DEL: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Delaware Blue Hens bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NMSU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Mexico State Aggies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Delaware Blue Hens at New Mexico State Aggies
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Model: Delaware 65% to win. Projected score Delaware 29, New Mexico State 23; spread Delaware −6, total 52. Delaware Blue Hens at New Mexico State Aggies, Sat, Nov 21, 3:00 PM ET.