UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
- Projected winnerAir Force 93%
- Projected scoreAir Force 39, UTEP 13
- Model spreadAir Force −26 total 52
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
UTEP Miners or Air Force Falcons: the bandwagon
Axle 7–93Market –
UTEP Miners at Air Force Falcons win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | UTEP | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UTEP– | AF– |
| Average win probability | UTEP– | AF– |
| Longest scoring run | UTEP– | AF– |
| Time leading | UTEP– | AF– |
UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons odds
Every stored line
| Stored | AF win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 93% | — |
- Ratings
- AF 1508 · UTEP 1191
- Home spread
- −26
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Falcons a 26-point favorite at home, with a 93% chance to win. The model total is 52. Ratings: Falcons 1508 (67th of 138), Miners 1191 (138th). The Falcons have won 4 of their last 5; the Miners 0 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
UTEP Miners
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at North Dakota State Bison | L 7–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San José State Spartans | L 11–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nevada Wolf Pack | L 13–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Mexico Lobos | L 7–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oregon State Beavers | L 7–33 | – | – | matchup |
Air Force Falcons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UConn Huskies | W 35–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wyoming Cowboys | L 14–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNLV Rebels | W 41–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northern Illinois Huskies | W 28–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Navy Midshipmen | W 14–9 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
UTEP Miners: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Air Force Falcons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Miners– 9th · L6
- Miners rating1191 138th of 138, 7 games
- Falcons– 3rd · W1
- Falcons rating1508 67th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak L6
No stances yet today on $UTEP: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UTEP Miners bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $AF: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Air Force Falcons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Air Force 93% to win. Projected score Air Force 39, UTEP 13; spread Air Force −26, total 52. UTEP Miners at Air Force Falcons, Fri, Nov 20, 8:00 PM ET.