Score is 0-0 with 13:32 left in the first, and the model has Air Force at 54 percent at home. Crowd picks haven't come in yet, so the bandwagon is still empty and the fans are still deciding who they are.
FBS · · Falcon Stadium · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreUConn 26, Air Force 35 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerAir Force 54%
- Pregame Projected scoreAir Force 28, UConn 27
- Model spreadAir Force −1.5 total 54.5
- Margin9 projected 1.5
- Total61 projected 54.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
UConn Huskies or Air Force Falcons: the bandwagon
Axle 46–54Market 47–54
FinalPregame: AF 54%Baseline: AF 78.1% (+24.3)Big swing: 31.3 ptsClutch window: 11:54
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONN | 0 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 26 |
| AF | 14 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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UConn Huskies at Air Force Falcons win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to AF+16.9 points for AF over the last 5:00
Big swing31.3 ptstoward CONN at 0:43 of game time
Clutch window11:54within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineAF 78.1%game average, +24.3 points from the pregame 53.7%
UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CONN | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | CONN368 | AF359 |
| First downs | CONN18 | AF24 |
| 3rd down | CONN4/10 | AF7/16 |
| 4th down | CONN0/2 | AF5/6 |
| Turnovers | CONN0 | AF0 |
| Penalties-yards | CONN5-46 | AF3-35 |
| Time of possession | CONN18:06 | AF41:49 |
UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CONN | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CONN26 | AF35 |
| Average win probability | CONN22% | AF78% |
| Longest scoring run | CONN+19 | AF+28 |
| Time leading | CONN0:00 | AF54:05 |
UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET
Huskies46%
Win chanceFalcons54%
SpreadAF −1.5closing model spread
Total54.5
Moneyline+116away / −116homeaway / home
Line movementAF win chance, 21 stored lines
−2 pts for AF between Oct 28 and Oct 31
61%48%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | AF win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 54% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 55% | −1 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 56% | — |
- Ratings
- AF 1481 · CONN 1515
- Home spread
- −1.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET · 2026-10-31 21:41 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: UConn Huskies 26, Air Force Falcons 35. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 5:30 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
HuskiesFalcons
Neutrals only–
HuskiesFalcons
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Falcons–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
UConn vs Air Force odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Falcons at 54% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 54% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 54% when last read, .
| Source | CONN | AF | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 47% | 54% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 47% | 54% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 46% | 54% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, AF: 0Polymarket minus model, AF: 0
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Falcons a 1.5-point favorite at home, with a 54% chance to win. The model total is 54.5. Ratings: Falcons 1508 (67th of 138), Huskies 1488 (74th). The Falcons have won 4 of their last 5; the Huskies 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Falcons won 0, the Huskies 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
UConn Huskies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Air Force Falcons | L 26–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Massachusetts Minutemen | W 35–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Temple Owls | W 34–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Syracuse Orange | L 41–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 21–24 | – | – | matchup |
Air Force Falcons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UConn Huskies | W 35–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wyoming Cowboys | L 14–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNLV Rebels | W 41–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northern Illinois Huskies | W 28–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Navy Midshipmen | W 14–9 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons at UConn Huskies | 16–26 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
UConn Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Air Force Falcons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Huskies– 2nd · L1
- Huskies rating1488 74th of 138, 7 games
- Falcons– 3rd · W1
- Falcons rating1508 67th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 2nd · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CONN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CONN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CONN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CONN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UConn Huskies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 3rd · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $AF
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $AF
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $AF
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $AF: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Air Force Falcons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on UConn Huskies at Air Force Falcons
Sign in to post a take on $CONNAF261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: UConn 26, Air Force 35. Bandwagon's model had the Air Force at 54% and projected Air Force 28, UConn 27; spread Air Force −1.5, total 54.5. Last read: Kalshi 54%, Polymarket 54% for Air Force.