Utah Utes vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
- Projected winnerUtah 75%
- Projected scoreUtah 29, TCU 18
- Model spreadUtah −11 total 46.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Utah Utes or TCU Horned Frogs: the bandwagon
Axle 75–25Market –
Utah Utes at TCU Horned Frogs win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Utah Utes vs TCU Horned Frogs live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Utah Utes vs TCU Horned Frogs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | UTAH | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UTAH– | TCU– |
| Average win probability | UTAH– | TCU– |
| Longest scoring run | UTAH– | TCU– |
| Time leading | UTAH– | TCU– |
Utah Utes vs TCU Horned Frogs odds
Every stored line
| Stored | TCU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 25% | — |
- Ratings
- TCU 1557 · UTAH 1769
- Home spread
- +11
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Utah Utes vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Utes a 11-point favorite, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 46.5. Ratings: Horned Frogs 1557 (51st of 138), Utes 1769 (6th). The Horned Frogs have won 2 of their last 5; the Utes 5 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Horned Frogs won 1, the Utes 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Utah Utes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Cincinnati Bearcats | W 49–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Cougars | W 21–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Buffaloes | W 27–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas Jayhawks | W 41–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iowa State Cyclones | W 31–17 | – | – | matchup |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Kansas Jayhawks | W 22–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs West Virginia Mountaineers | L 20–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Baylor Bears | W 17–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs BYU Cougars | L 10–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCF Knights | L 13–21 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs at Utah Utes | 13–7 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Utah Utes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
TCU Horned Frogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Utes– 1st · W8
- Utes rating1769 6th of 138, 7 games
- Horned Frogs– 13th · W1
- Horned Frogs rating1557 51st of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 1st · streak W8
No stances yet today on $UTAH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Utes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 13th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TCU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the TCU Horned Frogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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