Final: Utah 49, Cincinnati 25, and the Bearcats never found a way back into it. The model had Cincinnati at 26 percent before kickoff, so this is roughly the result the numbers pointed to.
FBS · · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Utah Utes vs Cincinnati Bearcats: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreUtah 49, Cincinnati 25 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerUtah 74%
- Pregame Projected scoreUtah 32, Cincinnati 22
- Model spreadUtah −10.5 total 53.5
- Margin24 projected 10.5
- Total74 projected 53.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Utah Utes or Cincinnati Bearcats: the bandwagon
Axle 74–26Market 72–28
FinalPregame: CIN 26%Baseline: CIN 6.2% (−19.7)Big swing: 18.4 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 14 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 49 |
| CIN | 3 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 25 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
–
Utah Utes at Cincinnati Bearcats win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for CIN over the last 5:00
Big swing18.4 ptstoward CIN at 1:27 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineCIN 6.2%game average, −19.7 points from the pregame 25.9%
Utah Utes vs Cincinnati Bearcats live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | UTAH | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | UTAH534 | CIN456 |
| First downs | UTAH27 | CIN18 |
| 3rd down | UTAH7/11 | CIN3/11 |
| 4th down | UTAH0/2 | CIN0/2 |
| Turnovers | UTAH2 | CIN2 |
| Penalties-yards | UTAH3-25 | CIN6-42 |
| Time of possession | UTAH35:30 | CIN24:30 |
Utah Utes vs Cincinnati Bearcats team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | UTAH | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UTAH49 | CIN25 |
| Average win probability | UTAH94% | CIN6% |
| Longest scoring run | UTAH+21 | CIN+13 |
| Time leading | UTAH52:43 | CIN0:00 |
Utah Utes vs Cincinnati Bearcats model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET
Utes74%
Win chanceBearcats26%
SpreadUTAH −10.5closing model spread
Total53.5
Moneyline−288away / +288homeaway / home
Line movementCIN win chance, 23 stored lines
+2 pts for CIN between Oct 28 and Oct 31
31%18%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | CIN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 26% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 24% | — |
- Ratings
- CIN 1543 · UTAH 1747
- Home spread
- +10.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET · 2026-10-31 22:46 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Utah Utes 49, Cincinnati Bearcats 25. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
UtesBearcats
Neutrals only–
UtesBearcats
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Bearcats–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Utah vs Cincinnati odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Utes at 72% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 72% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 74% when last read, .
| Source | UTAH | CIN | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 72% | 28% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 72% | 28% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 74% | 26% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, CIN: +3Polymarket minus model, CIN: +3
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Utah Utes vs Cincinnati Bearcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Utes a 10.5-point favorite, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 53.5. Ratings: Bearcats 1521 (63rd of 138), Utes 1769 (6th). The Bearcats have won 2 of their last 5; the Utes 5 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Bearcats won 0, the Utes 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Utah Utes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Cincinnati Bearcats | W 49–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Cougars | W 21–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Buffaloes | W 27–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas Jayhawks | W 41–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iowa State Cyclones | W 31–17 | – | – | matchup |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Utah Utes | L 25–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas Tech Red Raiders | W 37–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Virginia Mountaineers | L 42–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona Wildcats | L 7–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas State Wildcats | W 31–26 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bearcats at Utah Utes | 14–45 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Utah Utes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Cincinnati Bearcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Utes– 1st · W8
- Utes rating1769 6th of 138, 7 games
- Bearcats– 9th · L1
- Bearcats rating1521 63rd of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 1st · streak W8
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UTAH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UTAH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UTAH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $UTAH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Utes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak L1
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CIN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CIN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CIN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CIN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cincinnati Bearcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Utah Utes at Cincinnati Bearcats
Sign in to post a take on $UTAHCIN261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Utah 49, Cincinnati 25. Bandwagon's model had the Utah at 74% and projected Utah 32, Cincinnati 22; spread Utah −10.5, total 53.5. Last read: Kalshi 72%, Polymarket 72% for Utah.