Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
- Projected winnerWisconsin 67%
- Projected scoreWisconsin 30, Purdue 22
- Model spreadWisconsin −7 total 52
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Wisconsin Badgers or Purdue Boilermakers: the bandwagon
Axle 67–33Market –
Wisconsin Badgers at Purdue Boilermakers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | WIS | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WIS– | PUR– |
| Average win probability | WIS– | PUR– |
| Longest scoring run | WIS– | PUR– |
| Time leading | WIS– | PUR– |
Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | PUR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 33% | — |
- Ratings
- PUR 1391 · WIS 1546
- Home spread
- +7
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Badgers a 7-point favorite, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 52. Ratings: Boilermakers 1391 (106th of 138), Badgers 1546 (54th). The Boilermakers have won 2 of their last 5; the Badgers 3 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Boilermakers won 0, the Badgers 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Wisconsin Badgers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Iowa Hawkeyes | L 0–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs USC Trojans | W 24–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 7–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Michigan State Spartans | W 31–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Penn State Nittany Lions | W 24–20 | – | – | matchup |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Penn State Nittany Lions | L 17–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington Huskies | L 26–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Golden Gophers | W 41–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Illinois Fighting Illini | W 24–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L 10–49 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Boilermakers at Wisconsin Badgers | 6–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| Wisconsin Badgers at Purdue Boilermakers | 38–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| Purdue Boilermakers at Wisconsin Badgers | 24–35 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Wisconsin Badgers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Purdue Boilermakers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Badgers– 10th · L1
- Badgers rating1546 54th of 138, 7 games
- Boilermakers– 15th · L2
- Boilermakers rating1391 106th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 10th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $WIS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wisconsin Badgers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 15th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $PUR: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Purdue Boilermakers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Wisconsin Badgers at Purdue Boilermakers
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Model: Wisconsin 67% to win. Projected score Wisconsin 30, Purdue 22; spread Wisconsin −7, total 52. Wisconsin Badgers at Purdue Boilermakers, Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 AM ET.