East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
- Projected winnerArmy 70%
- Projected scoreArmy 31, East Carolina 22
- Model spreadArmy −8 total 53
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
East Carolina Pirates or Army Black Knights: the bandwagon
Axle 30–70Market –
East Carolina Pirates at Army Black Knights win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | ECU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ECU– | ARMY– |
| Average win probability | ECU– | ARMY– |
| Longest scoring run | ECU– | ARMY– |
| Time leading | ECU– | ARMY– |
East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ARMY win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | — |
- Ratings
- ARMY 1553 · ECU 1491
- Home spread
- −8
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Black Knights a 8-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win. The model total is 53. Ratings: Black Knights 1553 (53rd of 138), Pirates 1491 (72nd). The Black Knights have won 3 of their last 5; the Pirates 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Black Knights won 1, the Pirates 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
East Carolina Pirates
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Temple Owls | W 17–9 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Memphis Tigers | L 34–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UAB Blazers | L 17–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Rice Owls | W 28–12 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | W 20–17 | – | – | matchup |
Army Black Knights
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Memphis Tigers | L 22–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tulsa Golden Hurricane | W 38–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Atlantic Owls | W 56–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tulane Green Wave | W 20–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | L 29–31 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Army Black Knights at East Carolina Pirates | 6–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| East Carolina Pirates at Army Black Knights | 28–45 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
East Carolina Pirates: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Army Black Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Pirates– 8th · W1
- Pirates rating1491 72nd of 138, 7 games
- Black Knights– 5th · L1
- Black Knights rating1553 53rd of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ECU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the East Carolina Pirates bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ARMY: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Army Black Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on East Carolina Pirates at Army Black Knights
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Model: Army 70% to win. Projected score Army 31, East Carolina 22; spread Army −8, total 53. East Carolina Pirates at Army Black Knights, Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 PM ET.