Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Coastal Carolina at Louisiana: Bandwagon's model makes Louisiana an 81% favorite (Louisiana −14.5).
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns model odds and win probability
Axle gives Louisiana a 81% chance to win, by about 15 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every CFB marketEach bar is the chance that Louisiana win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 81%.
The largest gap is 3 points: Axle has Louisiana at 81%, Polymarket at 78%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before kickoff
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Louisiana
All CFB ratings| CCU | UL | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1351 120th of 138 | 1506 65th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:17 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:12 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 1:27 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:52 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:47 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:31 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:20 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:15 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:10 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:05 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET | 81% | −1 |
| Nov 7, 8:24 PM ET | 82% | +1 |
| Nov 7, 7:39 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:29 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:24 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:59 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:09 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:49 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:29 PM ET | 81% | +5 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:49 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:29 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:24 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:19 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 11:36 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | — |
Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana odds on Polymarket
Every College football marketPolymarket prices Ragin' Cajuns at 78%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 81%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | CCU | UL | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 22% | 78% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 19% | 81% | · model 2.0 |
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Ragin' Cajuns a 14.5-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 51.5. Ratings: Ragin' Cajuns 1506 (65th of 138), Chanticleers 1351 (120th). The Ragin' Cajuns have won 3 of their last 5; the Chanticleers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Ragin' Cajuns won 1, the Chanticleers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Old Dominion Monarchs | L 8–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia State Panthers | W 31–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs App State Mountaineers | L 32–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Marshall Thundering Herd | W 27–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | L 24–31 | – | – | matchup |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs South Alabama Jaguars | W 28–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southern Miss Golden Eagles | L 31–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Troy Trojans | W 33–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | L 31–32 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas State Red Wolves | W 23–20 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 34–24 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Chanticleers– Sun Belt - East, 6th · L1
- Chanticleers rating1351 120th of 138, 8 games
- Ragin' Cajuns– Sun Belt - West, 2nd · W1
- Ragin' Cajuns rating1506 65th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 6th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $CCU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - West · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UL: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Sign in to post a take on $CCUUL261121: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 11, 6:11 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Louisiana 81% to win. Projected score Louisiana 33, Coastal Carolina 18; spread Louisiana −14.5, total 51.5. Polymarket 78% for Louisiana. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns, Sat, Nov 21, 3:00 PM ET.