Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
- Projected winnerMarshall 81%
- Projected scoreMarshall 34, Georgia State 20
- Model spreadMarshall −14.5 total 54.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Georgia State Panthers or Marshall Thundering Herd: the bandwagon
Axle 19–81Market –
Georgia State Panthers at Marshall Thundering Herd win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | GAST | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Score | GAST– | MRSH– |
| Average win probability | GAST– | MRSH– |
| Longest scoring run | GAST– | MRSH– |
| Time leading | GAST– | MRSH– |
Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MRSH win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | — |
- Ratings
- MRSH 1509 · GAST 1357
- Home spread
- −14.5
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Thundering Herd a 14.5-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 54.5. Ratings: Thundering Herd 1509 (65th of 138), Panthers 1357 (117th). The Thundering Herd have won 3 of their last 5; the Panthers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Thundering Herd won 3, the Panthers 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Georgia State Panthers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L 20–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 32–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at James Madison Dukes | L 22–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Old Dominion Monarchs | W 42–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Illinois Huskies | W 35–14 | – | – | matchup |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | W 36–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Alabama Jaguars | W 20–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L 21–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at James Madison Dukes | L 17–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Missouri State Bears | W 30–24 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd at Georgia State Panthers | 30–18 | – | – | matchup | |
| Georgia State Panthers at Marshall Thundering Herd | 20–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| Marshall Thundering Herd at Georgia State Panthers | 24–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| Georgia State Panthers at Marshall Thundering Herd | 23–28 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Georgia State Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Marshall Thundering Herd: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Panthers– Sun Belt - East, 5th · L3
- Panthers rating1357 117th of 138, 7 games
- Thundering Herd– Sun Belt - East, 3rd · W2
- Thundering Herd rating1509 65th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 5th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $GAST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia State Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 3rd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $MRSH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marshall Thundering Herd bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Georgia State Panthers at Marshall Thundering Herd
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Model: Marshall 81% to win. Projected score Marshall 34, Georgia State 20; spread Marshall −14.5, total 54.5. Georgia State Panthers at Marshall Thundering Herd, Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 AM ET.