Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State: Bandwagon's model makes Texas Tech a 75% favorite (Texas Tech −10.5); Kalshi prices them at 40%.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys model odds and win probability
Axle gives Texas Tech a 75% chance to win, by about 11 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every CFB marketEach bar is the chance that Texas Tech win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 75%.
The largest gap is 36 points: Axle has Texas Tech at 75%, Polymarket at 39%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before kickoff
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Texas Tech
All CFB ratings| TTU | OKST | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1710 11th of 138 | 1504 68th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | OKST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:17 AM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:12 AM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 1:27 AM ET | 25% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 12:52 AM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:47 AM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:31 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:20 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:15 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:10 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:05 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:24 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:39 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:29 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:24 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:59 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:09 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:49 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:34 PM ET | 26% | +7 |
| Nov 7, 4:29 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:49 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:29 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:24 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:19 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 11:36 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 19% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 20% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 23% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 3:32 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 22% | −2 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 24% | — |
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Red Raiders at 40%, Polymarket at 39% (1 point apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 75%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | TTU | OKST | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 40% | 60% | ||
| Polymarket | 39% | 61% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 75% | 25% | · model 2.0 |
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Red Raiders a 10.5-point favorite, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 62.5. Ratings: Cowboys 1504 (68th of 138), Red Raiders 1710 (11th). The Cowboys have won 3 of their last 5; the Red Raiders 4 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Cowboys won 1, the Red Raiders 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs West Virginia Mountaineers | W 53–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona Wildcats | W 34–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cincinnati Bearcats | L 24–37 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona State Sun Devils | W 53–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Buffaloes | W 29–7 | – | – | matchup |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Kansas State Wildcats | W 66–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iowa State Cyclones | L 49–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado Buffaloes | W 57–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Cougars | L 32–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UCF Knights | W 42–28 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys | 56–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys | 31–41 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Texas Tech Red Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Oklahoma State Cowboys: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Red Raiders– 2nd · W2
- Red Raiders rating1710 11th of 138, 8 games
- Cowboys– 7th · W1
- Cowboys rating1504 68th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 2nd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $TTU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas Tech Red Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $OKST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oklahoma State Cowboys bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Texas Tech 75% to win. Projected score Texas Tech 36, Oklahoma State 26; spread Texas Tech −10.5, total 62.5. Kalshi 40%, Polymarket 39% for Texas Tech. Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys, Sat, Nov 14, 9:30 PM ET.