Scoreless at the opening whistle, and the model has South Alabama at 47 percent, so Louisiana Tech holds a slight edge for now. No crowd picks are in yet, so the Jaguars fans haven't made their case out loud.
FBS · · Hancock Whitney Stadium · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreLouisiana Tech 35, South Alabama 20 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerLouisiana Tech 53%
- Pregame Projected scoreLouisiana Tech 29, South Alabama 28
- Model spreadLouisiana Tech −1 total 56.5
- Margin15 projected 1
- Total55 projected 56.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs or South Alabama Jaguars: the bandwagon
Axle 53–47Market 68–32
FinalPregame: USA 47%Baseline: USA 29.9% (−17.4)Big swing: 46.2 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT | 7 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 35 |
| USA | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at South Alabama Jaguars win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−0.1 points for USA over the last 5:00
Big swing46.2 ptstoward LT at 30:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineUSA 29.9%game average, −17.4 points from the pregame 47.4%
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | LT | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | LT315 | USA397 |
| First downs | LT16 | USA24 |
| 3rd down | LT2/10 | USA6/14 |
| 4th down | LT0/1 | USA1/4 |
| Turnovers | LT0 | USA2 |
| Penalties-yards | LT4-29 | USA12-100 |
| Time of possession | LT26:37 | USA33:23 |
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | LT | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LT35 | USA20 |
| Average win probability | LT70% | USA30% |
| Longest scoring run | LT+14 | USA+7 |
| Time leading | LT38:49 | USA6:30 |
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET
Bulldogs53%
Win chanceJaguars47%
SpreadLT −1closing model spread
Total56.5
Moneyline−111away / +111homeaway / home
Line movementUSA win chance, 22 stored lines
+4 pts for USA between Oct 28 and Oct 31
53%38%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | USA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 47% | +4 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 43% | — |
- Ratings
- USA 1444 · LT 1513
- Home spread
- +1
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET · 2026-10-31 22:11 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 35, South Alabama Jaguars 20. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 5:30 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
BulldogsJaguars
Neutrals only–
BulldogsJaguars
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Jaguars–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Louisiana Tech vs South Alabama odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Bulldogs at 67% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 69% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 53% when last read, ; the two venues were 2 points apart at those reads.
| Source | LT | USA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 67% | 33% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 69% | 32% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 53% | 47% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, USA: −15Polymarket minus model, USA: −16
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bulldogs a 1-point favorite, with a 53% chance to win. The model total is 56.5. Ratings: Jaguars 1411 (99th of 138), Bulldogs 1546 (56th). The Jaguars have won 2 of their last 5; the Bulldogs 5 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Jaguars won 1, the Bulldogs 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at South Alabama Jaguars | W 35–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Old Dominion Monarchs | W 26–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UL Monroe Warhawks | W 24–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | W 32–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Army Black Knights | W 31–29 | – | – | matchup |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | L 20–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Marshall Thundering Herd | L 13–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | W 56–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UL Monroe Warhawks | W 52–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kentucky Wildcats | L 21–45 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at South Alabama Jaguars | 14–38 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
South Alabama Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bulldogs– Sun Belt - West, 1st · W5
- Bulldogs rating1546 56th of 138, 7 games
- Jaguars– Sun Belt - West, 3rd · L2
- Jaguars rating1411 99th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - West · 1st · streak W5
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $LT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - West · 3rd · streak L2
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $USA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $USA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $USA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $USA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Alabama Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at South Alabama Jaguars
Sign in to post a take on $LTUSA261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Louisiana Tech 35, South Alabama 20. Bandwagon's model had the Louisiana Tech at 53% and projected Louisiana Tech 29, South Alabama 28; spread Louisiana Tech −1, total 56.5. Last read: Kalshi 67%, Polymarket 69% for Louisiana Tech.