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South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves: final score and how the prediction did, October 8, 2026

South Alabama Jaguars or Arkansas State Red Wolves: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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South Alabama Jaguars at Arkansas State Red Wolves win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0015:0030:0045:0060:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0030:0060:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatUSAARST
ScoreUSA56ARST49
Average win probabilityUSA–ARST–
Longest scoring runUSA–ARST–
Time leadingUSA–ARST–

South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

JaguarsRed Wolves
Neutrals only–
JaguarsRed Wolves
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Red Wolves–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves prediction

Ratings: Red Wolves 1447 (84th of 138), Jaguars 1411 (99th). The Red Wolves have won 3 of their last 5; the Jaguars 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Red Wolves won 2, the Jaguars 2.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

South Alabama Jaguars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 20–35––matchup
at Marshall Thundering HerdL 13–20––matchup
at Arkansas State Red WolvesW 56–49––matchup
vs UL Monroe WarhawksW 52–35––matchup
at Kentucky WildcatsL 21–45––matchup

Arkansas State Red Wolves

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Georgia State PanthersW 38–32––matchup
at Southern Miss Golden EaglesW 23–13––matchup
vs South Alabama JaguarsL 49–56––matchup
at Louisiana Ragin' CajunsL 20–23––matchup
vs Kennesaw State OwlsW 17–14––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars15–14––matchup
South Alabama Jaguars at Arkansas State Red Wolves16–18––matchup
Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars14–21––matchup
South Alabama Jaguars at Arkansas State Red Wolves31–3––matchup

Injuries

South Alabama Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Arkansas State Red Wolves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Jaguars– Sun Belt - West, 3rd · L2
  • Jaguars rating1411 99th of 138, 7 games
  • Red Wolves– Sun Belt - West, 4th · W2
  • Red Wolves rating1447 84th of 138, 7 games

South Alabama Jaguars

NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - West · 3rd · streak L2

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $USA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $USA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $USA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $USA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Alabama Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Jaguars roster, schedule and more

Arkansas State Red Wolves

NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - West · 4th · streak W2

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ARST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ARST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ARST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ARST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arkansas State Red Wolves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Red Wolves roster, schedule and more

Takes on South Alabama Jaguars at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Sign in to post a take on $USAARST261008: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Final: South Alabama 56, Arkansas State 49. South Alabama Jaguars at Arkansas State Red Wolves at Centennial Bank Stadium: form, head-to-head and the crowd's pick.