Georgia 27, Florida 8, and the final number that matters is the 19-point margin. The program's home crowd got what it came for, and the model had the Bulldogs at 85 percent before kickoff.
FBS · · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Florida Gators vs Georgia Bulldogs: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreFlorida 8, Georgia 27 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerGeorgia 85%
- Pregame Projected scoreGeorgia 38, Florida 21
- Model spreadGeorgia −17 total 59
- Margin19 projected 17
- Total35 projected 59
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Florida Gators or Georgia Bulldogs: the bandwagon
Axle 15–85Market 20–81
FinalPregame: UGA 84%Baseline: UGA 94.3% (+9.8)Big swing: 12.5 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 |
| UGA | 7 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 27 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Florida Gators at Georgia Bulldogs win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for UGA over the last 5:00
Big swing12.5 ptstoward FLA at 30:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineUGA 94.3%game average, +9.8 points from the pregame 84.5%
Florida Gators vs Georgia Bulldogs live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | FLA246 | UGA318 |
| First downs | FLA15 | UGA19 |
| 3rd down | FLA4/12 | UGA6/15 |
| 4th down | FLA1/2 | UGA1/2 |
| Turnovers | FLA4 | UGA1 |
| Penalties-yards | FLA8-78 | UGA4-32 |
| Time of possession | FLA27:50 | UGA32:11 |
Florida Gators vs Georgia Bulldogs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | FLA8 | UGA27 |
| Average win probability | FLA6% | UGA94% |
| Longest scoring run | FLA+8 | UGA+41 |
| Time leading | FLA0:00 | UGA46:50 |
Florida Gators vs Georgia Bulldogs model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET
Gators15%
Win chanceBulldogs85%
SpreadUGA −17closing model spread
Total59
Moneyline+546away / −546homeaway / home
Line movementUGA win chance, 23 stored lines
−1 pts for UGA between Oct 28 and Oct 31
91%79%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | UGA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 85% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 84% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 85% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 84% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 85% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 86% | — |
- Ratings
- UGA 1781 · FLA 1542
- Home spread
- −17 · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET · 2026-10-31 22:46 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- home 84% → 85%
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Florida Gators 8, Georgia Bulldogs 27. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · The injury list is older than three daysplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Neutral siteforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
GatorsBulldogs
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GatorsBulldogs
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Bulldogs–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Florida vs Georgia odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Bulldogs at 81% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 81% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 84% when last read, .
| Source | FLA | UGA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 20% | 81% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 20% | 81% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 15% | 85% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, UGA: −4Polymarket minus model, UGA: −4
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Florida Gators vs Georgia Bulldogs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bulldogs a 17-point favorite, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 59. Ratings: Bulldogs 1795 (3rd of 138), Gators 1528 (60th). The Bulldogs have won 4 of their last 5; the Gators 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bulldogs won 4, the Gators 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Florida Gators
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Georgia Bulldogs | L 8–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | W 27–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Carolina Gamecocks | L 19–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Missouri Tigers | L 17–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ole Miss Rebels | W 52–28 | – | – | matchup |
Georgia Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Florida Gators | W 27–8 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Auburn Tigers | L 24–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama Crimson Tide | W 20–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vanderbilt Commodores | W 38–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma Sooners | W 41–13 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Bulldogs at Florida Gators | 24–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| Florida Gators at Georgia Bulldogs | 20–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| Georgia Bulldogs at Florida Gators | 43–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| Florida Gators at Georgia Bulldogs | 20–42 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Florida Gators: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Georgia Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Gators– 10th · L1
- Gators rating1528 60th of 138, 7 games
- Bulldogs– 1st · W1
- Bulldogs rating1795 3rd of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 10th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $FLA
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $FLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $FLA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Florida Gators bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 1st · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GEORGIA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $GEORGIA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $GEORGIA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $GEORGIA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Florida Gators at Georgia Bulldogs
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Final: Florida 8, Georgia 27. Bandwagon's model had the Georgia at 85% and projected Georgia 38, Florida 21; spread Georgia −17, total 59. Last read: Kalshi 81%, Polymarket 81% for Georgia.