Ole Miss opens at home with the model at 88 percent for the Rebels, while the crowd hasn't weighed in yet and the score is still 0-0 in the first quarter. Early numbers, but they lean purple.
FBS · · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Auburn Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreAuburn 15, Ole Miss 45 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerOle Miss 88%
- Pregame Projected scoreOle Miss 37, Auburn 17
- Model spreadOle Miss −20 total 54.5
- Margin30 projected 20
- Total60 projected 54.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Auburn Tigers or Ole Miss Rebels: the bandwagon
Axle 12–88Market 21–79
FinalPregame: MISS 88%Baseline: MISS 91.2% (+3.2)Big swing: 14.3 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUB | 0 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 15 |
| MISS | 0 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 45 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Auburn Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for MISS over the last 5:00
Big swing14.3 ptstoward AUB at 38:40 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineMISS 91.2%game average, +3.2 points from the pregame 88.0%
Auburn Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | AUB | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | AUB312 | MISS487 |
| First downs | AUB24 | MISS31 |
| 3rd down | AUB7/14 | MISS13/16 |
| 4th down | AUB1/2 | MISS0/1 |
| Turnovers | AUB2 | MISS1 |
| Penalties-yards | AUB8-67 | MISS8-95 |
| Time of possession | AUB27:22 | MISS32:38 |
Auburn Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | AUB | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Score | AUB15 | MISS45 |
| Average win probability | AUB9% | MISS91% |
| Longest scoring run | AUB+12 | MISS+42 |
| Time leading | AUB0:00 | MISS44:53 |
Auburn Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET
Tigers12%
Win chanceRebels88%
SpreadMISS −20closing model spread
Total54.5
Moneyline+740away / −740homeaway / home
Line movementMISS win chance, 20 stored lines
−1 pts for MISS between Oct 28 and Oct 31
94%82%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | MISS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:32 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 88% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 89% | — |
- Ratings
- MISS 1729 · AUB 1502
- Home spread
- −20
- Stored
- Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET · 2026-10-31 19:46 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Auburn Tigers 15, Ole Miss Rebels 45. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
TigersRebels
Neutrals only–
TigersRebels
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Rebels–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Auburn vs Ole Miss odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Rebels at 80% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 78% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 88% when last read, ; the two venues were 2 points apart at those reads.
| Source | AUB | MISS | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 20% | 80% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 22% | 78% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 12% | 88% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, MISS: −9Polymarket minus model, MISS: −11
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Auburn Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rebels a 20-point favorite at home, with a 88% chance to win. The model total is 54.5. Ratings: Rebels 1742 (7th of 138), Tigers 1489 (73rd). The Rebels have won 3 of their last 5; the Tigers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Rebels won 2, the Tigers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Auburn Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Ole Miss Rebels | L 15–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs LSU Tigers | L 17–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia Bulldogs | W 27–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tennessee Volunteers | L 14–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vanderbilt Commodores | W 21–15 | – | – | matchup |
Ole Miss Rebels
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Auburn Tigers | W 45–15 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | L 27–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri Tigers | W 31–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vanderbilt Commodores | W 52–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida Gators | L 28–52 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss Rebels at Auburn Tigers | 28–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| Auburn Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels | 34–48 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Auburn Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Ole Miss Rebels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Tigers– 12th · L2
- Tigers rating1489 73rd of 138, 8 games
- Rebels– 4th · W1
- Rebels rating1742 7th of 138, 8 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 12th · streak L2
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $AUB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $AUB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $AUB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $AUB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Auburn Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 4th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MISS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MISS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MISS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $MISS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ole Miss Rebels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Auburn Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels
Sign in to post a take on $AUBMISS261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Auburn 15, Ole Miss 45. Bandwagon's model had the Ole Miss at 88% and projected Ole Miss 37, Auburn 17; spread Ole Miss −20, total 54.5. Last read: Kalshi 80%, Polymarket 78% for Ole Miss.