NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Wednesday, November 11
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I women's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Wednesday, November 11
59 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huskies at Mean Green | Mean Green 91% | Mean Green −18.5 | 130.5 | +969 / −969 | spread −18 → −18.5 | Matchup | |
| Cardinals at Roadrunners | Roadrunners 83% | Roadrunners −14 | 130.5 | +504 / −504 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wildcats at Cougars | Cougars 93% | Cougars −20.5 | 130.5 | +1345 / −1345 | no move | Matchup | |
| Jaguars at Owls | Jaguars 55% | Owls −1.5 | 131.5 | −121 / +121 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bobcats at Red Storm | Red Storm 51% | Red Storm −3 | 130.5 | +103 / −103 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Billikens | Billikens 72% | Billikens −9 | 134 | +259 / −259 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bearcats at Raiders | Bearcats 53% | Raiders −2 | 130.5 | −113 / +113 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Pride | Pride 64% | Pride −6.5 | 130.5 | +175 / −175 | no move | Matchup | |
| Dragons at Cavaliers | Cavaliers 76% | Cavaliers −10.5 | 128.5 | +315 / −315 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Colonials | Colonials 75% | Colonials −10.5 | 130.5 | +305 / −305 | no move | Matchup | |
| Rams at Bison | Bison 64% | Bison −6.5 | 129.5 | +179 / −179 | no move | Matchup | |
| Patriots at Black Knights | Patriots 55% | Black Knights −1.5 | 130.5 | −122 / +122 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hoyas at Revolutionaries | Revolutionaries 55% | Revolutionaries −4 | 130.5 | +120 / −120 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bengals at Aggies | Bengals 69% | Bengals −3 | 130.5 | −222 / +222 | no move | Matchup | |
| Dolphins at Chanticleers | Dolphins 52% | Chanticleers −2 | 130.5 | −107 / +107 | no move | Matchup | |
| Red Foxes at Dukes | Dukes 70% | Dukes −8.5 | 132 | +228 / −228 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mountaineers at Mountain Hawks | Mountain Hawks 77% | Mountain Hawks −11 | 132 | +333 / −333 | no move | Matchup | |
| Midshipmen at Dukes | Dukes 73% | Dukes −9.5 | 130.5 | +274 / −274 | no move | Matchup | |
| Highlanders at Leopards | Highlanders 62% | Highlanders −0.5 | 127.5 | −161 / +161 | no move | Matchup | |
| Ducks at Catamounts | Catamounts 61% | Catamounts −5.5 | 130.5 | +153 / −153 | home 60% → 61% | Matchup | |
| Highlanders at Fighting Camels | Fighting Camels 56% | Fighting Camels −4.5 | 128 | +129 / −129 | no move | Matchup | |
| Dons at Falcons | Falcons 58% | Falcons −5 | 130.5 | +137 / −137 | no move | Matchup | |
| Saints at Orange | Orange 83% | Orange −13.5 | 131.5 | +485 / −485 | no move | Matchup | |
| Seawolves at Purple Eagles | Seawolves 77% | Seawolves −5.5 | 130.5 | −332 / +332 | no move | Matchup | |
| River Hawks at Eagles | Eagles 68% | Eagles −8 | 130.5 | +216 / −216 | no move | Matchup | |
| Spartans at Runnin' Bulldogs | Runnin' Bulldogs 50% | Runnin' Bulldogs −2.5 | 130.5 | −102 / +102 | no move | Matchup | |
| Argonauts at Seminoles | Seminoles 67% | Seminoles −7.5 | 130 | +203 / −203 | no move | Matchup | |
| Governors at Knights | Knights 53% | Knights −3.5 | 129.5 | +112 / −112 | no move | Matchup | |
| Purple Aces at Wildcats | Wildcats 95% | Wildcats −22.5 | 132 | +1852 / −1852 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hawks at Bearcats | Hawks 54% | Bearcats −1.5 | 130.5 | −116 / +116 | no move | Matchup | |
| Owls at Lady Bulldogs | Lady Bulldogs 88% | Lady Bulldogs −16.5 | 130.5 | +759 / −759 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Grizzlies at Spartans | Spartans 92% | Spartans −19.5 | 130.5 | +1178 / −1178 | no move | Matchup | |
| Owls at Explorers | Explorers 61% | Explorers −5.5 | 133.5 | +155 / −155 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wildcats at Big Green | Big Green 56% | Big Green −4 | 130.5 | +127 / −127 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mountaineers at Wildcats | Wildcats 83% | Wildcats −13.5 | 131.5 | +489 / −489 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Friars | Friars 62% | Friars −6 | 130.5 | +164 / −164 | no move | Matchup | |
| Buccaneers at Bears | Bears 80% | Bears −12.5 | 130.5 | +406 / −406 | no move | Matchup | |
| Buccaneers at Phoenix | Phoenix 55% | Phoenix −4 | 130.5 | +124 / −124 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Pirates | Pirates 61% | Pirates −6 | 130.5 | +158 / −158 | no move | Matchup | |
| Flames at Wolfpack | Wolfpack 82% | Wolfpack −13 | 130.5 | +451 / −451 | no move | Matchup | |
| Sharks at Mustangs | Mustangs 63% | Mustangs −6.5 | 130.5 | +169 / −169 | spread −5.5 → −6.5, home 60% → 63% | Matchup | |
| Minutewomen at Crimson | Crimson 69% | Crimson −8.5 | 132.5 | +227 / −227 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hawks at Scarlet Knights | Hawks 52% | Scarlet Knights −2 | 128.5 | −106 / +106 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Tar Heels | Tar Heels 95% | Tar Heels −23.5 | 133 | +2062 / −2062 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Pioneers | Pioneers 73% | Pioneers −9.5 | 129.5 | +265 / −265 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Blue Demons | Blue Demons 72% | Blue Demons −9 | 134 | +259 / −259 | no move | Matchup | |
| Coyotes at Bluejays neutral site | Bluejays 63% | Bluejays −6 | 130.5 | +167 / −167 | no move | Matchup | |
| Jackrabbits at Longhorns | Longhorns 86% | Longhorns −15.5 | 133 | +638 / −638 | no move | Matchup | |
| Great Danes at Rebels | Rebels 85% | Rebels −14.5 | 129 | +572 / −572 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wildcats at Vaqueros | Vaqueros 54% | Vaqueros −4 | 130.5 | +119 / −119 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Hens at Badgers | Badgers 76% | Badgers −10.5 | 133 | +320 / −320 | no move | Matchup | |
| Phoenix at Redbirds | Redbirds 52% | Redbirds −3 | 134.5 | +108 / −108 | no move | Matchup | |
| Trojans at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 56% | Bulldogs −4.5 | 130.5 | +127 / −127 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Toppers at Commodores | Commodores 93% | Commodores −21 | 131.5 | +1433 / −1433 | no move | Matchup | |
| Red Wolves at Ramblers | Red Wolves 63% | Red Wolves −1 | 134 | −168 / +168 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cougars at Flames | Flames 84% | Flames −14 | 133 | +519 / −519 | no move | Matchup | |
| Buffaloes at Aztecs | Aztecs 64% | Aztecs −6.5 | 129.5 | +175 / −175 | no move | Matchup | |
| Redhawks at Mustangs | Mustangs 70% | Mustangs −8.5 | 130.5 | +230 / −230 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lobos at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 50% | Bulldogs −2.5 | 130.5 | +100 / −100 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 59 of 59
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 59 of 59
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 56 of 59 · unavailable for 3 (First game of a season for at least one side)
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 59 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 59 (More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that window)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 53 · unavailable for 6 (A previous venue or its coordinates is not stored; Neutral site)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 59 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I women's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCLA Bruins | 1887 | 1 |
| 2 | UConn Huskies | 1862 | 1 |
| 3 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 1845 | 1 |
| 4 | Texas Longhorns | 1829 | 0 |
| 5 | LSU Tigers | 1783 | 1 |
| 6 | Duke Blue Devils | 1757 | 1 |
| 7 | TCU Horned Frogs | 1751 | 1 |
| 8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1745 | 1 |
| 9 | Michigan Wolverines | 1737 | 0 |
| 10 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 1736 | 1 |
| 11 | Louisville Cardinals | 1735 | 1 |
| 12 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 1727 | 1 |
Top 12 of 356; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I women's basketball model record
Over 16226 NCAA Division I women's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 76% of the time, Brier score 0.1624, mean spread error 10.888 points, mean total error 13.595. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I women's basketball games Wednesday, November 11: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.