Abilene Christian Wildcats vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros prediction, odds and picks, November 11, 2026
- Projected winnerUT Rio Grande Valley 54%
- Projected scoreUT Rio Grande Valley 67, Abilene Christian 63
- Model spreadUT Rio Grande Valley −4 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Abilene Christian Wildcats or UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: the bandwagon
Axle 46–54Market –
Abilene Christian Wildcats at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | ACU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ACU– | RGV– |
| Average win probability | ACU– | RGV– |
| Longest scoring run | ACU– | RGV– |
| Time leading | ACU– | RGV– |
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros odds
Every stored line
| Stored | RGV win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 54% | +3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 51% | −12 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- RGV 1513 · ACU 1564
- Home spread
- −4
- Stored
- Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET · 2026-11-04 19:15 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Vaqueros a 4-point favorite at home, with a 54% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Vaqueros 1513 (158th of 356), Wildcats 1564 (108th). The Vaqueros are 0-0; the Wildcats are 0-0. The Vaqueros have won 3 of their last 5; the Wildcats 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Vaqueros won 1, the Wildcats 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Illinois State Redbirds | L 55–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida International Panthers | W 77–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Baptist Lancers | L 58–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UT Arlington Mavericks | W 70–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UT Arlington Mavericks | W 72–57 | – | – | matchup |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Illinois State Redbirds | L 52–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Austin Peay Governors | W 71–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at McNeese Cowgirls | L 52–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northwestern State Lady Demons | W 76–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Incarnate Word Cardinals | W 72–64 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros at Abilene Christian Wildcats | 58–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 59–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros at Abilene Christian Wildcats | 69–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 62–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 71–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros at Abilene Christian Wildcats | 65–69 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Abilene Christian Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wildcats0-0 1st · -
- Wildcats rating1564 108th of 356, 0 games
- Vaqueros0-0 12th · -
- Vaqueros rating1513 158th of 356, 0 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak -
No stances yet today on $ACUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Abilene Christian Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak -
No stances yet today on $RGVWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: UT Rio Grande Valley 54% to win. Projected score UT Rio Grande Valley 67, Abilene Christian 63; spread UT Rio Grande Valley −4, total 130.5. Abilene Christian Wildcats at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, Wed, Nov 11, 7:30 PM ET.