NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Friday, November 6
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I women's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Friday, November 6
34 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sycamores at Pirates | Pirates 89% | Pirates −16.5 | 130.5 | +775 / −775 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Demons at Razorbacks | Razorbacks 62% | Razorbacks −6 | 130.5 | +160 / −160 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Jayhawks | Jayhawks 81% | Jayhawks −12.5 | 129 | +430 / −430 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mastodons at Blue Demons | Blue Demons 50% | Blue Demons −2.5 | 133 | −101 / +101 | no move | Matchup | |
| Vaqueros at Coyotes | Coyotes 69% | Coyotes −8 | 130.5 | +219 / −219 | no move | Matchup | |
| Dragons at Quakers | Quakers 63% | Quakers −6 | 130.5 | +168 / −168 | no move | Matchup | |
| Thunderbirds at Aggies | Thunderbirds 54% | Aggies −1.5 | 130.5 | −119 / +119 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lions at Aggies | Lions 77% | Lions −5.5 | 130.5 | −331 / +331 | no move | Matchup | |
| Aggies at Eagles | Aggies 55% | Eagles −1.5 | 130.5 | −120 / +120 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mountain Hawks at Hawks | Hawks 66% | Hawks −7 | 127.5 | +193 / −193 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Bears at Cowgirls | Cowgirls 96% | Cowgirls −24 | 130.5 | +2187 / −2187 | no move | Matchup | |
| Aggies at Thundering Herd | Thundering Herd 86% | Thundering Herd −15.5 | 130.5 | +631 / −631 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Terriers | Terriers 73% | Terriers −9.5 | 128 | +266 / −266 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tigers at Spiders | Spiders 62% | Spiders −6 | 131 | +162 / −162 | no move | Matchup | |
| Rams at Lions neutral site | Lions 60% | Lions −5.5 | 131 | +147 / −147 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 57% | Bulldogs −4.5 | 130.5 | +133 / −133 | no move | Matchup | |
| Shockers at Roos | Roos 56% | Roos −4.5 | 130.5 | +130 / −130 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wildcats at Huskies | Wildcats 77% | Wildcats −5.5 | 130.5 | −327 / +327 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bearcats at Stags | Stags 88% | Stags −16.5 | 130.5 | +753 / −753 | no move | Matchup | |
| Rams at Utes | Rams 52% | Utes −2 | 130.5 | −107 / +107 | no move | Matchup | |
| Phoenix at Bison | Bison 77% | Bison −11 | 130.5 | +334 / −334 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Raiders at Tigers | Blue Raiders 59% | PK | 130.5 | −145 / +145 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Braves | Braves 80% | Braves −12.5 | 132 | +405 / −405 | no move | Matchup | |
| Salukis at Hoosiers | Hoosiers 90% | Hoosiers −17.5 | 130.5 | +871 / −871 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Jackrabbits | Jackrabbits 76% | Jackrabbits −10.5 | 131 | +321 / −321 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lancers at Trailblazers | Lancers 70% | Lancers −3.5 | 130.5 | −236 / +236 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tigers at Trojans | Trojans 56% | Trojans −4.5 | 130.5 | +128 / −128 | no move | Matchup | |
| Vikings at Broncos | Broncos 92% | Broncos −19.5 | 130.5 | +1174 / −1174 | no move | Matchup | |
| Owls at Racers neutral site | Racers 53% | Racers −3.5 | 130.5 | +115 / −115 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulls at Bruins | Bruins 54% | Bruins −4 | 129.5 | +118 / −118 | no move | Matchup | |
| Vandals at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 67% | Bulldogs −7.5 | 130.5 | +199 / −199 | no move | Matchup | |
| Highlanders at Redhawks | Highlanders 63% | Highlanders −1 | 130.5 | −170 / +170 | no move | Matchup | |
| Roadrunners at Lady Rebels | Lady Rebels 61% | Lady Rebels −5.5 | 130.5 | +155 / −155 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cougars at Ducks | Ducks 90% | Ducks −17.5 | 132 | +865 / −865 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 34 of 34
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 34 of 34
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 11 of 34 · unavailable for 23 (First game of a season for at least one side)
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 34 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 34 (No injury list read before this game)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 30 · unavailable for 4 (Neutral site; No venue coordinates stored for the home side)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 34 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I women's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCLA Bruins | 1887 | 1 |
| 2 | UConn Huskies | 1862 | 1 |
| 3 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 1845 | 1 |
| 4 | Texas Longhorns | 1829 | 0 |
| 5 | LSU Tigers | 1783 | 1 |
| 6 | Duke Blue Devils | 1757 | 1 |
| 7 | TCU Horned Frogs | 1751 | 1 |
| 8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1745 | 1 |
| 9 | Michigan Wolverines | 1737 | 0 |
| 10 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 1736 | 1 |
| 11 | Louisville Cardinals | 1735 | 1 |
| 12 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 1727 | 1 |
Top 12 of 356; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I women's basketball model record
Over 16226 NCAA Division I women's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 76% of the time, Brier score 0.1624, mean spread error 10.888 points, mean total error 13.595. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I women's basketball games Friday, November 6: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.