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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Sanford Coyote Sports Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs South Dakota Coyotes prediction, odds and picks, November 6, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros or South Dakota Coyotes: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 31–69Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: SDAK 69%
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Record 0-0
Game clock
KickoffFriday, November 6 at 12:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros at South Dakota Coyotes win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs South Dakota Coyotes live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs South Dakota Coyotes team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatRGVSDAK
ScoreRGV–SDAK–
Average win probabilityRGV–SDAK–
Longest scoring runRGV–SDAK–
Time leadingRGV–SDAK–

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs South Dakota Coyotes odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Vaqueros31%
Win chance
Coyotes69%
SpreadSDAK −8
Total130.5
Moneyline+219away / −219homeaway / home
Line movementSDAK win chance, 37 stored lines
+6 pts for SDAK since Oct 29
76%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: SDAK 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: SDAK 70%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: SDAK 70%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: SDAK 70%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: SDAK 69%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: SDAK 69%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredSDAK winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET69%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET69%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET69%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET69%0
Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET69%0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET69%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET69%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET69%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET69%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET69%−1
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET70%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET70%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET70%+7
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
SDAK 1551 · RGV 1513
Home spread
−8
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

VaquerosCoyotes
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Coyotes–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs South Dakota Coyotes prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Coyotes a 8-point favorite at home, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Coyotes 1551 (122nd of 356), Vaqueros 1513 (158th). The Coyotes are 0-0; the Vaqueros are 0-0. The Coyotes have won 3 of their last 5; the Vaqueros 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Coyotes won 1, the Vaqueros 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Illinois State RedbirdsL 52–81––matchup
at Austin Peay GovernorsW 71–59––matchup
at McNeese CowgirlsL 52–67––matchup
vs Northwestern State Lady DemonsW 76–67––matchup
vs Incarnate Word CardinalsW 72–64––matchup

South Dakota Coyotes

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Illinois State RedbirdsL 60–67––matchup
vs Montana State BobcatsW 65–56––matchup
vs Pepperdine WavesW 73–57––matchup
vs Northern Colorado BearsW 80–60––matchup
at South Dakota State JackrabbitsL 59–74––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros at South Dakota Coyotes44–71––matchup

Injuries

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

South Dakota Coyotes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Vaqueros0-0 12th · -
  • Vaqueros rating1513 158th of 356, 0 games
  • Coyotes0-0 6th · -
  • Coyotes rating1551 122nd of 356, 0 games

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $RGVWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $RGVWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $RGVWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $RGVWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Vaqueros roster, schedule and more

South Dakota Coyotes 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SDAKWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SDAKWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SDAKWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SDAKWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Dakota Coyotes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Coyotes roster, schedule and more

Takes on UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros at South Dakota Coyotes

Sign in to post a take on $RGVWBBSDAKWBB261106: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: South Dakota 69% to win. Projected score South Dakota 69, UT Rio Grande Valley 61; spread South Dakota −8, total 130.5. UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros at South Dakota Coyotes, Fri, Nov 6, 12:00 PM ET.