NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Thursday, November 12
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I women's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Thursday, November 12
45 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mocs at Norse | Norse 61% | Norse −5.5 | 130.5 | +154 / −154 | spread −4.5 → −5.5, home 57% → 61% | Matchup | |
| Seahawks at Demon Deacons | Demon Deacons 81% | Demon Deacons −12.5 | 130.5 | +430 / −430 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Racers | Racers 88% | Racers −16 | 130.5 | +704 / −704 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cougars at Golden Bears | Golden Bears 58% | Golden Bears −5 | 130.5 | +139 / −139 | no move | Matchup | |
| Titans at Aggies | Aggies 76% | Aggies −10.5 | 130.5 | +325 / −325 | no move | Matchup | |
| Vikings at Tritons | Tritons 93% | Tritons −20.5 | 129 | +1299 / −1299 | no move | Matchup | |
| Crusaders at Bears | Crusaders 51% | Bears −2.5 | 131 | −106 / +106 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lancers at Quakers | Quakers 69% | Quakers −8 | 130.5 | +221 / −221 | no move | Matchup | |
| Monarchs at Spiders | Spiders 82% | Spiders −13 | 131.5 | +464 / −464 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cowgirls at Golden Hurricane | Cowgirls 71% | Cowgirls −3.5 | 128.5 | −243 / +243 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hornets at Bulls | Hornets 63% | Hornets −1 | 133 | −168 / +168 | no move | Matchup | |
| Salukis at Colonels | Colonels 88% | Colonels −16 | 130.5 | +721 / −721 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulls at Gators | Gators 60% | Gators −5.5 | 131.5 | +149 / −149 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hokies at Rams | Hokies 78% | Hokies −6 | 129.5 | −357 / +357 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Buckeyes | Huskies 63% | Huskies −1 | 129.5 | −170 / +170 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Raiders at Lady Volunteers | Lady Volunteers 76% | Lady Volunteers −10.5 | 137.5 | +323 / −323 | no move | Matchup | |
| Catamounts at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 74% | Bulldogs −10 | 130.5 | +290 / −290 | no move | Matchup | |
| Crimson Tide at Tigers | Crimson Tide 78% | Crimson Tide −6 | 130.5 | −357 / +357 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Devils at Spartans | Blue Devils 75% | Blue Devils −5 | 130.5 | −306 / +306 | no move | Matchup | |
| Stags at Pirates | Stags 58% | Pirates −0.5 | 130.5 | −136 / +136 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Tigers at Lady Eagles | Lady Eagles 74% | Lady Eagles −10 | 130.5 | +286 / −286 | no move | Matchup | |
| Jaspers at Knights | Knights 77% | Knights −11 | 130.5 | +334 / −334 | home 78% → 77% | Matchup | |
| Wolverines at Lions | Lions 56% | Lions −4 | 130.5 | +125 / −125 | no move | Matchup | |
| Warriors at Wildcats | Wildcats 85% | Wildcats −14.5 | 134 | +577 / −577 | no move | Matchup | |
| Devilettes at Bisons | Bisons 76% | Bisons −10.5 | 132.5 | +322 / −322 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bison at Bulldogs | Bison 57% | Bulldogs −0.5 | 133.5 | −131 / +131 | no move | Matchup | |
| Broncs at Blue Devils | Blue Devils 55% | Blue Devils −4 | 125.5 | +123 / −123 | no move | Matchup | |
| Gamecocks at Tigers | Gamecocks 76% | Gamecocks −5 | 134.5 | −314 / +314 | no move | Matchup | |
| Peacocks at Hurricanes | Hurricanes 90% | Hurricanes −17.5 | 130 | +865 / −865 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hawks at Yellow Jackets | Yellow Jackets 79% | Yellow Jackets −12 | 131.5 | +382 / −382 | no move | Matchup | |
| Fighting Hawks at Panthers | Panthers 65% | Panthers −7 | 130.5 | +189 / −189 | no move | Matchup | |
| Rams at Seahawks | Rams 79% | Rams −6.5 | 130.5 | −374 / +374 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bison at Cyclones | Cyclones 70% | Cyclones −8.5 | 136 | +237 / −237 | no move | Matchup | |
| Privateers at Green Wave | Green Wave 87% | Green Wave −16 | 133.5 | +678 / −678 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Demons at Lady Techsters | Lady Techsters 83% | Lady Techsters −13.5 | 130.5 | +475 / −475 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Lions at Horned Frogs | Horned Frogs 96% | Horned Frogs −25 | 134 | +2664 / −2664 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Lions at Razorbacks | Razorbacks 81% | Razorbacks −12.5 | 133.5 | +417 / −417 | no move | Matchup | |
| Skyhawks at Tigers | Tigers 79% | Tigers −11.5 | 138.5 | +376 / −376 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cardinals at Cardinals | Cardinals 54% | Cardinals −1.5 | 134 | −118 / +118 | spread −2 → −1.5, total 135.5 → 134, home 47% → 46% | Matchup | |
| Lady Panthers at Bears | Bears 97% | Bears −28 | 130.5 | +3879 / −3879 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tigers at Owls | Owls 94% | Owls −22 | 128.5 | +1706 / −1706 | no move | Matchup | |
| Ospreys at Trojans | Trojans 82% | Trojans −13 | 130.5 | +461 / −461 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Hawkeyes | Hawkeyes 85% | Hawkeyes −14.5 | 129 | +574 / −574 | no move | Matchup | |
| Roadrunners at Huskies | Huskies 95% | Huskies −23.5 | 130.5 | +2106 / −2106 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wildcats at Bruins | Bruins 96% | Bruins −24 | 132 | +2292 / −2292 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 45 of 45
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 45 of 45
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 42 of 45 · unavailable for 3 (First game of a season for at least one side)
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 45 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 45 (More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that window)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 36 · unavailable for 9 (A previous venue or its coordinates is not stored; No venue coordinates stored for the home side)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 45 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I women's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCLA Bruins | 1887 | 1 |
| 2 | UConn Huskies | 1862 | 1 |
| 3 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 1845 | 1 |
| 4 | Texas Longhorns | 1829 | 0 |
| 5 | LSU Tigers | 1783 | 1 |
| 6 | Duke Blue Devils | 1757 | 1 |
| 7 | TCU Horned Frogs | 1751 | 1 |
| 8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1745 | 1 |
| 9 | Michigan Wolverines | 1737 | 0 |
| 10 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 1736 | 1 |
| 11 | Louisville Cardinals | 1735 | 1 |
| 12 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 1727 | 1 |
Top 12 of 356; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I women's basketball model record
Over 16226 NCAA Division I women's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 76% of the time, Brier score 0.1624, mean spread error 10.888 points, mean total error 13.595. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I women's basketball games Thursday, November 12: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.