Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers prediction, odds and picks, November 12, 2026
- Projected winnerTennessee 76%
- Projected scoreTennessee 74, Middle Tennessee 63
- Model spreadTennessee −10.5 total 137.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders or Tennessee Lady Volunteers: the bandwagon
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Axle 24–76Market –
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Tennessee Lady Volunteers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MTSU | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MTSU– | TENN– |
| Average win probability | MTSU– | TENN– |
| Longest scoring run | MTSU– | TENN– |
| Time leading | MTSU– | TENN– |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | TENN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET | 76% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 77% | +2 |
| Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 75% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 77% | — |
- Ratings
- TENN 1622 · MTSU 1540
- Home spread
- −10.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET · 2026-11-04 19:15 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lady Volunteers a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 137.5. Ratings: Lady Volunteers 1622 (62nd of 356), Blue Raiders 1540 (129th). The Lady Volunteers are 0-0; the Blue Raiders are 0-0. The Lady Volunteers have won 1 of their last 5; the Blue Raiders 3 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Lady Volunteers won 2, the Blue Raiders 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Saint Louis Billikens | W 91–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cleveland State Vikings | L 56–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W 69–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri State Lady Bears | L 66–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri State Lady Bears | W 86–75 | – | – | matchup |
Tennessee Lady Volunteers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Duquesne Dukes | W 109–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at NC State Wolfpack | L 61–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Alabama Crimson Tide | L 64–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vanderbilt Commodores | L 77–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LSU Tigers | L 73–89 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 85–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 75–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 62–73 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Tennessee Lady Volunteers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blue Raiders0-0 6th · -
- Blue Raiders rating1540 129th of 356, 1 games
- Lady Volunteers0-0 14th · -
- Lady Volunteers rating1622 62nd of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak -
No stances yet today on $MTSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 14th · streak -
No stances yet today on $TENNWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tennessee Lady Volunteers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Tennessee 76% to win. Projected score Tennessee 74, Middle Tennessee 63; spread Tennessee −10.5, total 137.5. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Tennessee Lady Volunteers, Thu, Nov 12, 6:30 PM ET.