Tennessee Lady Volunteers lead Duquesne Dukes 30-24 with 10:00 left in the 2nd period, a six-point margin. The model gives the home side an 83% chance right now, and no crowd picks are in yet. Jordan Reyes
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Duquesne Dukes vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreDuquesne 62, Tennessee 109 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerTennessee 83%
- Pregame Projected scoreTennessee 72, Duquesne 58
- Model spreadTennessee −13.5 total 130.5
- Margin47 projected 13.6
- Total171 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Duquesne Dukes or Tennessee Lady Volunteers: the bandwagon
Axle 17–83Market –
FinalPregame: TENN 83%Baseline: TENN 96.3% (+13.2)Big swing: 3.5 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUQ | 24 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 62 |
| TENN | 30 | 21 | 30 | 28 | 109 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Duquesne Dukes at Tennessee Lady Volunteers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for TENN over the last 5:00
Big swing3.5 ptstoward TENN at 3:41 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineTENN 96.3%game average, +13.2 points from the pregame 83.0%
Duquesne Dukes vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | DUQ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | DUQ21/72 | TENN36/87 |
| 3-pointers | DUQ10/37 | TENN17/46 |
| Free throws | DUQ10/13 | TENN20/26 |
| Rebounds | DUQ50 | TENN55 |
| Assists | DUQ11 | TENN24 |
| Turnovers | DUQ27 | TENN7 |
| Steals | DUQ3 | TENN18 |
| Blocks | DUQ7 | TENN3 |
| Points in the paint | DUQ18 | TENN32 |
| Fast-break points | DUQ27 | TENN35 |
| Fouls | DUQ21 | TENN14 |
| Largest lead | DUQ0 | TENN47 |
Duquesne Dukes vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | DUQ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | DUQ62 | TENN109 |
| Average win probability | DUQ4% | TENN96% |
| Longest scoring run | DUQ+5 | TENN+10 |
| Time leading | DUQ0:00 | TENN36:45 |
Duquesne Dukes vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET
Dukes17%
Win chanceLady Volunteers83%
SpreadTENN −13.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+491away / −491homeaway / home
Line movementTENN win chance, 16 stored lines
+20 pts for TENN between Oct 29 and Nov 2
93%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | TENN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 83% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 87% | +24 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- TENN 1609 · DUQ 1458
- Home spread
- −13.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:11 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Duquesne Dukes 62, Tennessee Lady Volunteers 109. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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DukesLady Volunteers
Neutrals only–
DukesLady Volunteers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Lady Volunteers–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Duquesne Dukes vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lady Volunteers a 13.5-point favorite at home, with a 83% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Lady Volunteers 1622 (62nd of 356), Dukes 1446 (234th). The Lady Volunteers are 1-0; the Dukes are 0-1. The Lady Volunteers have won 1 of their last 5; the Dukes 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Duquesne Dukes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Tennessee Lady Volunteers | L 62–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Saint Joseph's Hawks | L 45–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs VCU Rams | W 60–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs George Mason Patriots | L 48–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Saint Louis Billikens | W 82–64 | – | – | matchup |
Tennessee Lady Volunteers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Duquesne Dukes | W 109–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at NC State Wolfpack | L 61–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Alabama Crimson Tide | L 64–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vanderbilt Commodores | L 77–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LSU Tigers | L 73–89 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Duquesne Dukes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Tennessee Lady Volunteers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Dukes0-1 8th · L1
- Dukes rating1446 234th of 356, 1 games
- Lady Volunteers1-0 13th · W1
- Lady Volunteers rating1622 62nd of 356, 1 games
Duquesne Dukes 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
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NCAA Division I women's basketball · 13th · streak W1
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