Saint Louis Billikens vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreSaint Louis 84, Middle Tennessee 91 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerMiddle Tennessee 78%
- Pregame Projected scoreMiddle Tennessee 71, Saint Louis 60
- Model spreadMiddle Tennessee −11.5 total 130.5
- Margin7 projected 11.4
- Total175 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Saint Louis Billikens or Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: the bandwagon
Axle 22–78Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLU | 15 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 84 |
| MTSU | 24 | 19 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 91 |
Saint Louis Billikens at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Saint Louis Billikens vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | SLU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | SLU27/51 | MTSU24/75 |
| 3-pointers | SLU11/27 | MTSU7/37 |
| Free throws | SLU19/25 | MTSU36/46 |
| Rebounds | SLU35 | MTSU46 |
| Assists | SLU15 | MTSU11 |
| Turnovers | SLU28 | MTSU16 |
| Steals | SLU6 | MTSU17 |
| Blocks | SLU10 | MTSU1 |
| Points in the paint | SLU28 | MTSU32 |
| Fast-break points | SLU15 | MTSU13 |
| Fouls | SLU37 | MTSU23 |
| Largest lead | SLU3 | MTSU13 |
Saint Louis Billikens vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | SLU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SLU84 | MTSU91 |
| Average win probability | SLU20% | MTSU80% |
| Longest scoring run | SLU+4 | MTSU+8 |
| Time leading | SLU0:53 | MTSU7:41 |
Saint Louis Billikens vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MTSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 78% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 82% | +19 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- MTSU 1534 · SLU 1426
- Home spread
- −11.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Saint Louis Billikens 84, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 91. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Saint Louis Billikens vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Blue Raiders a 11.5-point favorite at home, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Blue Raiders 1540 (129th of 356), Billikens 1420 (257th). The Blue Raiders are 0-0; the Billikens are 0-0. The Blue Raiders have won 3 of their last 5; the Billikens 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Blue Raiders won 1, the Billikens 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Saint Louis Billikens
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | L 84–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at La Salle Explorers | L 51–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fordham Rams | W 68–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Davidson Wildcats | L 62–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Duquesne Dukes | L 64–82 | – | – | matchup |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Saint Louis Billikens | W 91–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cleveland State Vikings | L 56–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W 69–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri State Lady Bears | L 66–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri State Lady Bears | W 86–75 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Saint Louis Billikens | 73–55 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Saint Louis Billikens: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Billikens0-0 11th · -
- Billikens rating1420 257th of 356, 1 games
- Blue Raiders0-0 6th · -
- Blue Raiders rating1540 129th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 11th · streak -
No stances yet today on $SLUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Saint Louis Billikens bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak -
No stances yet today on $MTSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Saint Louis Billikens at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
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Final: Saint Louis 84, Middle Tennessee 91. Bandwagon's model had the Middle Tennessee at 78% and projected Middle Tennessee 71, Saint Louis 60; spread Middle Tennessee −11.5, total 130.5.