NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Monday, November 9
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I women's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Monday, November 9
26 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Demons at Cowgirls | Cowgirls 88% | Cowgirls −16 | 130.5 | +704 / −704 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Eagles at Tigers | Tigers 70% | Tigers −8.5 | 138.5 | +232 / −232 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 78% | Bulldogs −11 | 130.5 | +348 / −348 | no move | Matchup | |
| Vandals at Cougars | Vandals 72% | Vandals −4 | 130.5 | −263 / +263 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Hens at Tigers | Tigers 71% | Tigers −9 | 131.5 | +249 / −249 | no move | Matchup | |
| Crimson at Crusaders | Crusaders 59% | Crusaders −5 | 130.5 | +145 / −145 | no move | Matchup | |
| Zips at Musketeers | Musketeers 79% | Musketeers −12 | 132.5 | +382 / −382 | no move | Matchup | |
| Jaguars at Knights | Knights 56% | Knights −4 | 133 | +126 / −126 | no move | Matchup | |
| Braves at Hoosiers | Hoosiers 76% | Hoosiers −10.5 | 130.5 | +317 / −317 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Blue Devils | Eagles 57% | Blue Devils −1 | 130.5 | −131 / +131 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cardinals at Lady Raiders | Lady Raiders 78% | Lady Raiders −11.5 | 130.5 | +363 / −363 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lancers at 49ers | 49ers 52% | 49ers −3.5 | 130.5 | +110 / −110 | no move | Matchup | |
| Trojans at Tigers | Tigers 51% | Tigers −3 | 130.5 | +103 / −103 | no move | Matchup | |
| Devilettes at Lady Eagles | Lady Eagles 79% | Lady Eagles −12 | 130.5 | +382 / −382 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Lions at Flyers | Flyers 66% | Flyers −7 | 130.5 | +194 / −194 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lions at Gamecocks | Gamecocks 65% | Gamecocks −7 | 130.5 | +183 / −183 | no move | Matchup | |
| Sugar Bears at Warhawks | Sugar Bears 52% | Warhawks −2 | 130.5 | −106 / +106 | no move | Matchup | |
| Roos at Razorbacks | Razorbacks 81% | Razorbacks −12.5 | 130.5 | +430 / −430 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Commodores | Commodores 92% | Commodores −19.5 | 133 | +1186 / −1186 | no move | Matchup | |
| Leathernecks at Mavericks | Leathernecks 80% | Leathernecks −6.5 | 130.5 | −390 / +390 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bluejays at Bison | Bison 63% | Bison −6.5 | 130.5 | +170 / −170 | no move | Matchup | |
| Ducks at Lopes | Ducks 54% | Lopes −1.5 | 131.5 | −119 / +119 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wildcats at Utes | Utes 90% | Utes −18 | 130.5 | +905 / −905 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mustangs at Bengals | Bengals 86% | Bengals −15 | 130.5 | +597 / −597 | no move | Matchup | |
| Broncos at Beach | Broncos 81% | Broncos −7.5 | 130.5 | −433 / +433 | no move | Matchup | |
| Redhawks at Gauchos | Gauchos 91% | Gauchos −18.5 | 130.5 | +1003 / −1003 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 26 of 26
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 26 of 26
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 23 of 26 · unavailable for 3 (First game of a season for at least one side)
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 26 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 26 (More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that window)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 26
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 26 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I women's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCLA Bruins | 1887 | 1 |
| 2 | UConn Huskies | 1862 | 1 |
| 3 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 1845 | 1 |
| 4 | Texas Longhorns | 1834 | 1 |
| 5 | LSU Tigers | 1783 | 1 |
| 6 | Duke Blue Devils | 1757 | 1 |
| 7 | TCU Horned Frogs | 1751 | 1 |
| 8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1745 | 1 |
| 9 | Louisville Cardinals | 1744 | 2 |
| 10 | Michigan Wolverines | 1737 | 0 |
| 11 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 1736 | 1 |
| 12 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 1727 | 1 |
Top 12 of 356; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I women's basketball model record
Over 16240 NCAA Division I women's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 76% of the time, Brier score 0.1624, mean spread error 10.894 points, mean total error 13.595. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I women's basketball games Monday, November 9: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.