NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Saturday, November 14
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I women's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Saturday, November 14
50 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Hornets at Miners | Miners 65% | Miners −7 | 130.5 | +189 / −189 | no move | Matchup | |
| Texans at Longhorns | Longhorns 96% | Longhorns −25 | 130.5 | +2580 / −2580 | no move | Matchup | |
| Broncs at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 69% | Bulldogs −8 | 130.5 | +219 / −219 | no move | Matchup | |
| Terriers at Eagles | Eagles 74% | Eagles −9.5 | 131 | +281 / −281 | no move | Matchup | |
| Buccaneers at Panthers | Panthers 73% | Panthers −9.5 | 128.5 | +272 / −272 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Bulls | Bulldogs 77% | Bulldogs −6 | 130 | −340 / +340 | no move | Matchup | |
| Devilettes at Lady Tigers | Lady Tigers 65% | Lady Tigers −7 | 130.5 | +184 / −184 | no move | Matchup | |
| Friars at Eagles | Friars 58% | Eagles −0.5 | 130.5 | −138 / +138 | no move | Matchup | |
| Falcons at Midshipmen | Midshipmen 80% | Midshipmen −12 | 130.5 | +400 / −400 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Devils at Minutewomen | Minutewomen 92% | Minutewomen −19.5 | 130 | +1180 / −1180 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Demons at Fighting Irish neutral site | Fighting Irish 90% | Fighting Irish −18 | 136 | +928 / −928 | no move | Matchup | |
| Dukes at Golden Flashes | Golden Flashes 69% | Golden Flashes −8 | 137 | +218 / −218 | no move | Matchup | |
| Highlanders at Big Green | Highlanders 65% | Highlanders −1.5 | 125.5 | −183 / +183 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hornets at Purple Eagles | Hornets 79% | Hornets −6.5 | 128.5 | −369 / +369 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Bulldogs at Bobcats | Lady Bulldogs 61% | Lady Bulldogs −0.5 | 129.5 | −158 / +158 | no move | Matchup | |
| Fighting Hawks at Titans | Titans 63% | Titans −6 | 130.5 | +168 / −168 | no move | Matchup | |
| Spartans at Spartans | Spartans 77% | Spartans −11 | 128 | +330 / −330 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bearcats at Bonnies | Bonnies 58% | Bonnies −5 | 130.5 | +136 / −136 | spread −4.5 → −5 | Matchup | |
| Bison at Mountaineers | Mountaineers 65% | Mountaineers −7 | 133.5 | +183 / −183 | no move | Matchup | |
| Terriers at Bobcats | Bobcats 91% | Bobcats −18.5 | 130.5 | +1008 / −1008 | no move | Matchup | |
| Purple Aces at Panthers | Panthers 58% | Panthers −5 | 132.5 | +138 / −138 | no move | Matchup | |
| Owls at Eagles | Eagles 75% | Eagles −10 | 129.5 | +299 / −299 | no move | Matchup | |
| Paladins at Fighting Camels | Fighting Camels 67% | Fighting Camels −7.5 | 129.5 | +199 / −199 | no move | Matchup | |
| Redbirds at Billikens | Redbirds 60% | PK | 138 | −152 / +152 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Ramblers | Ramblers 79% | Ramblers −12 | 131 | +380 / −380 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Gophers at Wildcats neutral site | Golden Gophers 67% | Golden Gophers −2 | 129 | −202 / +202 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Bulldogs at Panthers | Panthers 95% | Panthers −23.5 | 130.5 | +2022 / −2022 | no move | Matchup | |
| Ospreys at Sugar Bears | Sugar Bears 88% | Sugar Bears −16 | 130.5 | +703 / −703 | no move | Matchup | |
| Rams at Red Storm | Red Storm 50% | Red Storm −2.5 | 130.5 | −100 / +100 | no move | Matchup | |
| Badgers at Phoenix | Phoenix 74% | Phoenix −10 | 131.5 | +291 / −291 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Bears at Gauchos | Golden Bears 51% | Gauchos −2.5 | 130.5 | −105 / +105 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Wildcats | Wildcats 73% | Wildcats −9.5 | 130.5 | +276 / −276 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lumberjacks at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 71% | Bulldogs −8.5 | 130.5 | +243 / −243 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Patriots | Patriots 94% | Patriots −22 | 132.5 | +1671 / −1671 | no move | Matchup | |
| Highlanders at Shockers | Shockers 56% | Shockers −4 | 130.5 | +125 / −125 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cardinals at Mean Green | Mean Green 82% | Mean Green −13 | 130.5 | +459 / −459 | no move | Matchup | |
| Penguins at Buffaloes | Buffaloes 77% | Buffaloes −11 | 130.5 | +339 / −339 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tommies at Black Knights | Black Knights 81% | Black Knights −12.5 | 130.5 | +426 / −426 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wolf Pack at Wolverines | Wolverines 74% | Wolverines −10 | 130.5 | +286 / −286 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tar Heels at Quakers | Tar Heels 64% | Tar Heels −1 | 130.5 | −175 / +175 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lobos at Cougars | Cougars 74% | Cougars −10 | 129 | +287 / −287 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cornhuskers at Jayhawks neutral site | Jayhawks 53% | Jayhawks −3.5 | 129.5 | +114 / −114 | no move | Matchup | |
| Braves at Knights | Braves 75% | Braves −5 | 134 | −297 / +297 | no move | Matchup | |
| Matadors at Toreros | Toreros 70% | Toreros −8.5 | 130.5 | +230 / −230 | no move | Matchup | |
| Sharks at Revolutionaries | Revolutionaries 75% | Revolutionaries −10.5 | 130.5 | +306 / −306 | no move | Matchup | |
| Spartans at Lady Pirates | Spartans 73% | Spartans −4 | 130.5 | −266 / +266 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wildcats at Mountaineers neutral site | Mountaineers 53% | Mountaineers −3.5 | 130.5 | +113 / −113 | no move | Matchup | |
| Raiders at Wildcats | Wildcats 66% | Wildcats −7 | 130.5 | +191 / −191 | no move | Matchup | |
| Beach at Pilots | Pilots 88% | Pilots −16 | 130.5 | +707 / −707 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bearkats at Bears | Bears 70% | Bears −8.5 | 130.5 | +229 / −229 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 50 of 50
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 50 of 50
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 49 of 50 · unavailable for 1 (First game of a season for at least one side)
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 50 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 50 (More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that window)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 44 · unavailable for 6 (A previous venue or its coordinates is not stored; Neutral site)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 50 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I women's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCLA Bruins | 1887 | 1 |
| 2 | UConn Huskies | 1862 | 1 |
| 3 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 1845 | 1 |
| 4 | Texas Longhorns | 1829 | 0 |
| 5 | LSU Tigers | 1783 | 1 |
| 6 | Duke Blue Devils | 1757 | 1 |
| 7 | TCU Horned Frogs | 1751 | 1 |
| 8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1745 | 1 |
| 9 | Michigan Wolverines | 1737 | 0 |
| 10 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 1736 | 1 |
| 11 | Louisville Cardinals | 1735 | 1 |
| 12 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 1727 | 1 |
Top 12 of 356; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I women's basketball model record
Over 16226 NCAA Division I women's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 76% of the time, Brier score 0.1624, mean spread error 10.888 points, mean total error 13.595. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I women's basketball games Saturday, November 14: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.