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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Payne Whitney Gymnasium · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Rider Broncs vs Yale Bulldogs prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Rider Broncs or Yale Bulldogs: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 31–69Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: YALE 69%
Record 0-1
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffSaturday, November 14 at 11:00 AM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Rider Broncs at Yale Bulldogs win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Rider Broncs vs Yale Bulldogs live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Rider Broncs vs Yale Bulldogs team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatRIDYALE
ScoreRID–YALE–
Average win probabilityRID–YALE–
Longest scoring runRID–YALE–
Time leadingRID–YALE–

Rider Broncs vs Yale Bulldogs odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 3 h ago
Broncs31%
Win chance
Bulldogs69%
SpreadYALE −8
Total130.5
Moneyline+219away / −219homeaway / home
Line movementYALE win chance, 34 stored lines
+1 pts for YALE since Nov 1
74%62%
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: YALE 68%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: YALE 69%Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: YALE 69%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET: YALE 69%Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET: YALE 69%
Nov 1Nov 3Now
Every stored line
StoredYALE winMove
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET69%0
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET69%0
Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET69%0
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET69%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET69%0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET69%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET69%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET69%0
Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET69%0
Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET69%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET69%0
Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET69%+1
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET68%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET68%—
Ratings
YALE 1391 · RID 1348
Home spread
−8
Stored
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:45 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BroncsBulldogs
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Bulldogs–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Rider Broncs vs Yale Bulldogs prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bulldogs a 8-point favorite at home, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Bulldogs 1391 (287th of 356), Broncs 1348 (318th). The Bulldogs are 1-0; the Broncs are 0-1. The Bulldogs have won 2 of their last 5; the Broncs 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Bulldogs won 1, the Broncs 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Rider Broncs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at NJIT HighlandersL 45–50––matchup
at Mount St. Mary's MountaineersL 46–54––matchup
vs Siena SaintsL 55–67––matchup
at Niagara Purple EaglesL 52–56––matchup
at Canisius Golden GriffinsW 55–53––matchup

Yale Bulldogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Princeton TigersL 55–78––matchup
vs Cornell Big RedW 57–45––matchup
vs Columbia LionsL 47–68––matchup
at Pennsylvania QuakersL 52–68––matchup
vs Dartmouth Big GreenW 82–54––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Yale Bulldogs at Rider Broncs53–52––matchup

Injuries

Rider Broncs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Yale Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Broncs0-1 9th · L1
  • Broncs rating1348 318th of 356, 1 games
  • Bulldogs1-0 5th · W1
  • Bulldogs rating1391 287th of 356, 0 games

Rider Broncs 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $RIDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $RIDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $RIDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $RIDWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Rider Broncs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Broncs roster, schedule and more

Yale Bulldogs 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $YALEWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $YALEWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $YALEWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $YALEWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Yale Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bulldogs roster, schedule and more

Takes on Rider Broncs at Yale Bulldogs

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