South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs UNC Greensboro Spartans prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
- Projected winnerUNC Greensboro 77%
- Projected scoreUNC Greensboro 69, South Carolina Upstate 59
- Model spreadUNC Greensboro −11 total 128
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
South Carolina Upstate Spartans or UNC Greensboro Spartans: the bandwagon
Axle 23–77Market –
South Carolina Upstate Spartans at UNC Greensboro Spartans win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs UNC Greensboro Spartans live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs UNC Greensboro Spartans team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | UPST | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UPST– | UNCG– |
| Average win probability | UPST– | UNCG– |
| Longest scoring run | UPST– | UNCG– |
| Time leading | UPST– | UNCG– |
South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs UNC Greensboro Spartans odds
Every stored line
| Stored | UNCG win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 77% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 76% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 75% | — |
- Ratings
- UNCG 1455 · UPST 1363
- Home spread
- −11
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs UNC Greensboro Spartans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Spartans a 11-point favorite at home, with a 77% chance to win. The model total is 128. Ratings: Spartans 1455 (223rd of 356), Spartans 1363 (305th). The Spartans are 0-0; the Spartans are 0-0. The Spartans have won 2 of their last 5; the Spartans 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Spartans won 4, the Spartans 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
South Carolina Upstate Spartans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L 58–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at High Point Panthers | L 53–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Presbyterian Blue Hose | W 60–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| at High Point Panthers | W 55–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | L 51–52 | – | – | matchup |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Presbyterian Blue Hose | W 58–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| at East Tennessee State Buccaneers | L 50–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Western Carolina Catamounts | W 68–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chattanooga Mocs | L 54–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| at East Tennessee State Buccaneers | L 39–52 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Greensboro Spartans at South Carolina Upstate Spartans | 70–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| South Carolina Upstate Spartans at UNC Greensboro Spartans | 54–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans at South Carolina Upstate Spartans | 56–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| South Carolina Upstate Spartans at UNC Greensboro Spartans | 48–54 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
South Carolina Upstate Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UNC Greensboro Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Spartans0-0 7th · -
- Spartans rating1363 305th of 356, 1 games
- Spartans0-0 8th · -
- Spartans rating1455 223rd of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak -
No stances yet today on $UPSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Carolina Upstate Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak -
No stances yet today on $UNCGWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UNC Greensboro Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on South Carolina Upstate Spartans at UNC Greensboro Spartans
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Model: UNC Greensboro 77% to win. Projected score UNC Greensboro 69, South Carolina Upstate 59; spread UNC Greensboro −11, total 128. South Carolina Upstate Spartans at UNC Greensboro Spartans, Sat, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET.